Recommendations
0 to acquire · 0 to dispose
| Ticker | Name | Close | Action | Action Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. | Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. | 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | Rationale |
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| — | XL2CSOPSMSN | — | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | Still in cash on the Samsung 2x tracker. The previous day's first buy signal failed the next day. The ETF opened at its high and slipped 4.1% to 82.80 on very thin volume while Korea's market was shut for Chuseok, and the model dropped it back to 'no trade'. Our two-day confirmation rule exists to avoid exactly this kind of one-day false start. OPERATIONAL: BUY BreakoutUp_20D cv63 (09-23) -> NO TRADE cv0 ('Consensus conflict + low conviction'); HLP-43 2-bar confirm FAILED, re-arm reset. Open 85.60 = high, close-vs-open -3.27%, range 18th pctile, vol 2.55M (-66%), KRX closed (HLP-12/44 NAV-less drift). Back below EMA50 83.06 / EMA200 83.45; +10.7% vs EMA20 74.82. A bar-1 card (fill 09-24 open 85.60) would mark -3.3%. T12 clamp 0.591x (18th session). Mark series 10/15 cost (~HK vs ~HK saved); HLP-21(c) sustain 7 -> agenda, not entry. RE-ARM: bullish actionable label same family 2 bars + adj conv >= 65 + ATR stop >= 1 ATR -> GTC at LIVE Entry_Price; real test 28-Sep KRX reopen. |
| — | XL2CSOPHYNIX | — | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | Staying out of the SK Hynix 2x tracker. It closed flat at 42.52 on low volume with Seoul shut for Chuseok, and the model dropped its tentative 'watch' rating back to 'no trade', so there is no entry or stop to act on. OPERATIONAL: WATCH FailedBreakdown_Up_20D cv49 -> NO TRADE cv0 ('Consensus conflict + low conviction'). +0.05%, open 42.46, range 57th pctile, vol 23.8M (-62%), KRX closed (HLP-12/44). +4.7% vs EMA20 40.67; -11.3% vs EMA50 47.96 (>1 ATR). ATR 7.2% of price. T12 clamp 0.570x (18th session). RE-ARM: bullish actionable label same family 2 bars + adj conv >= 65 + ATR-derived stop >= 1.0x ATR; 28-Sep KRX reopen is the information event. |
Outcome & track record
Accuracy at the time of this record.
0 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one.
0.000 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
89 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.