Recommendations
0 to acquire · 0 to dispose
| Ticker | Name | Close | Action | Action Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. | Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. | 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | Rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PCT | PC Partner Group | 2.88 | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | 3.33 | PC Partner is the only name in this book with a constructive outlook - the model sees 3.33 in twelve weeks against a 2.88 close, a 15.6% forward view and easily the best on the book - but the signal itself is only a watch, seven points short of the conviction we require before committing capital. We wait for it to firm up rather than anticipating it. OPERATIONAL: WATCH is not in the acquire pool and cv58 < the 65 floor - a genuine near-miss, the closest thing this book has produced. Note L1 classes FailedBreakdown_Up_20D as a chase-grade family requiring confirmation even when it does clear. RE-ARM: a BUY/STRONG BUY reprint clearing cv65. Ledgered optional/direction:none so the counterfactual grader prices the decline. |
| 558 | UMS Integration | 2.57 | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | 2.79 | UMS Integration carries the second-best forward view in the book at +8.6% over twelve weeks, but the shares do not trade enough volume to clear our tradability screen, so no position can be taken regardless of the outlook. This is a structural block, not a judgement about the company. OPERATIONAL: NoTrade_Reason verbatim - 'Liquidity gate failed'. Two other names (I07, S71) are blocked identically, 27% of the book. FLAG: a liquidity threshold calibrated on STI large caps applied to a mid/small-cap mandate leaves no reachable universe - candidate for the ADR-0003 per-portfolio tuner. |
| — | sgmscap | — | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | No action. The book is 100% cash at Swith all eleven universe members held at zero, and not one printed a bullish or bearish actionable label. Three names are hard-blocked by the liquidity gate, five return 'Consensus conflict + low conviction', three carry AVOID labels with forward views around -43%, and the single near-miss (PCT, WATCH cv58 with a +15.6% twelve-week view) is seven points below the conviction floor. FLAG: 195 ledger entries, ZERO graded outcomes, zero trades ever taken - this book cannot calibrate its scorecard because it has never held a position, the same structural dead-end as hklev. Separately, sgmscap is the ONLY HK/SG book tonight with a fully populated valuation layer (0 NA rows) and it has nothing to apply it to, while the books that can trade cannot be valued. |
Outcome & track record
Accuracy at the time of this record.
0 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one.
0.000 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
50 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.