Recommendations
0 to acquire · 0 to dispose
| Ticker | Name | Close | Action | Action Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. | Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. | 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | Rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| — | AI - SG Mid/Small Cap | — | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | No trades tonight: SG mid/small-cap semis fell about 3.5% with every name down, no stock printed a signal and the 12-week projections dropped further, so the book stays in cash. OPERATIONAL: 11/11 NT cv0 (7 gate, 4 consensus). 0 ACQUIRE / 0 DISPOSE / 0 ANTICIPATE. Recomputed gate 10/11 FAIL (BN2 sole passer at 2.08%, consensus NT; 5DD fails turnover S). Tape -3.48% EW ex-S71; ~S avoided (SGM-2); 09-30..10-20 window ~-14.2% (MSCAP-56), cash ~S ahead. Refusal marks: AWX 10-@10.69 -20.4%; PCT @3.32 -18.7%; E@2.69 -18.6%; 5DD WATCH @2.53 -0.4% (now in favour). T12: AWX -12.5%, PCT -7.0%, 558 -21.5%. Fairvalue 10-13 fresh at edge (regenerate 10-21). Scorecard 306/1 graded/f=0.30. Overlay stale 107d. Monitor clean. SStep 8a NOT run (batch directive). |
Outcome & track record
Accuracy at the time of this record.
1 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one. See the decisions →
0.240 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
90 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.