Recommendations
0 to acquire · 0 to dispose
| Ticker | Name | Close | Action | Action Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. | Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. | 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | Rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| — | AI - SG Mid/Small Cap | — | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | No trades tonight: SG mid/small-cap semis gave back the previous day's bounce and fell about 3.7% with every name down; no stock printed a buy signal, wide trading ranges kept every name behind the liquidity gate and the 12-week projections sit well below price, so the book stays in cash. OPERATIONAL: 11 NT cv0 (9 gate, 2 consensus: AWX, PCT). 10-21 AVOIDs E28/I07/575 reverted to gate-NT but fell 4-7% (bearish read confirmed). 0 ACQUIRE / 0 DISPOSE / 0 ANTICIPATE. Recomputed gate 11/11 FAIL. Tape -3.74% EW ex-S71 (0 up/10 down); ~S avoided (SGM-2); 09-30..10-22 window ~-16.6% (MSCAP-56), cash ~S ahead. Fairvalue fresh 10-21: PCT UNDERVALUED +0.10 QPass True (watch). Refusal marks: AWX 10-@10.69 -22.9%; PCT @3.32 -18.4%; E@2.69 -21.2%; 5DD WATCH @2.53 -0.4% in favour. T12: AWX -21.0%, PCT -14.4%, 558 -28.8%. Scorecard 308/1 graded/f=0.30. Overlay stale 109d. Monitor clean. SStep 8a NOT run (batch directive). |
Outcome & track record
Accuracy at the time of this record.
1 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one. See the decisions →
0.240 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
90 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.