Recommendations
0 to acquire · 0 to dispose
| Ticker | Name | Close | Action | Action Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. | Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. | 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | Rationale |
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| — | AI - SG Mid/Small Cap | — | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | No trades tonight: SG mid/small-cap semis extended the rebound a second day (+4.0%, all ten traded names up, led by UMS +8%, ISDN +7% and Frencken +6%), but no name printed a buy signal, the only name that passed the liquidity check (Valuetronics) printed a failed-breakout sell signal, and every 12-week projection still sits 17-43% below price, so the book stays in cash. OPERATIONAL: 0 bullish rows; 10 NT cv0 (9 gate, AWX consensus) + BN2 AVOID FailedBreakout_Down_20D cv74 (unheld, long-only => no action). Recomputed gate 10/11 FAIL (9 spread, S71 turnover+spread), BN2 PASS (range 2.69%, S). Tape +3.97% EW ex-S71 (10 up/0 down); ~S forgone (MSCAP-12); 09-30..11-11 window ~-22.5% (MSCAP-56), cash ~S ahead. Refusal marks: @0.074 +6.8% against; 5DD -6.7%; 8AZ -11.0%; AWX 09-30 -28.1%; E28 -29.7%; 558 10-09 -32.7%; AWX 10-@10.69 -34.1%; @2.90 -34.8%; PCT @3.32 -35.2% in favour. Scorecard 322/1 graded/f=0.30. FV fresh (11-05, 6d). Overlay stale 129d. Monitor clean. SStep 8a NOT run (batch directive). |
Outcome & track record
Accuracy at the time of this record.
1 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one. See the decisions →
0.240 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
90 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.