HK Leveraged ETFs — End-of-Day Verdict
TRIM 50% 7709 (, decisive stop-break -15.69% on 2x leveraged ETF, keep 50% for bounce into 07-10 Hynix Nasdaq listing; new stop 101). 7747 AVOID (breakdown, below floor). No acquisitions. Sell frees ~HK; HKD 50k dry stays dry.
Recommendations
0 to acquire · 1 to dispose
| Ticker | Name | Close | Action | Action Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. | Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. | 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | Rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7709 | XL2CSOPHYNIX | 109.60 | TRIM 50% | 109.60 | 101.00 | 141.60 (+29.2%) | 216.15 (+97.2%) | 156.18 (+42.5%) | decisive stop-break -15.69% on 2x leveraged ETF -> doctrine trim-50%-not-dump (conv<70, not breakdown-family, 12wk positive); overlay keep-50% active; sentiment/leverage-unwind selloff, Hynix Nasdaq listing 07-10 catalyst -> ride retained 50%; new stop 101 · news |
| 7747 | XL2CSOPSMSN | 123.00 | AVOID | — | 132.11 | n/a | 215.41 | 162.80 | bearish breakdown, below 65 floor, not held - no open (long-only) |
Outcome & track record
Accuracy at the time of this record.
0 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one.
0.000 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
22 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.