HK Leveraged ETFs — End-of-Day Verdict
NO ACTION. 7709 HOLD cv54 FailedBreakdown_Up (bounce off 102.50 low to 116.80, keep-50% vindicated), stop 102.5, ride into Hynix Nasdaq listing 07-10; no add (cv54<65), no new trim (no sell signal). 7747 NO TRADE cv0. HKD 50k dry stays dry.
Recommendations
0 to acquire · 0 to dispose
| Ticker | Name | Close | Action | Action Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. | Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. | 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | Rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7709 | XL2CSOPHYNIX | 116.80 | HOLD | 116.80 | 102.50 | 133.88 (+14.6%) | 173.74 (+48.8%) | 166.44 (+42.5%) | bounce off 102.50 low; 20D breakdown FAILED, conv rising, RSI 47, above stop, no exit warning; below 65 floor -> HOLD (no add, no trim). Keep-50% vindicated. 07-02 trim reconciles at 07-03 open 102.50 (L8 gap-reprice -6.5%); JSON still 1000 = holdings-reconcile pending. Catalyst Hynix Nasdaq listing 07-10. |
| 7747 | XL2CSOPSMSN | 137.25 | WATCH | — | — | n/a | n/a | 166.58 | NoTrade_Reason 'Consensus conflict + low conviction'; recovered to 137.25 but cv0, below floor, not held -> no open (long-only) |
Outcome & track record
Accuracy at the time of this record.
1 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one. See the decisions →
0.000 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
22 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.