Recommendations
0 to acquire · 0 to dispose
| Ticker | Name | Close | Action | Action Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. | Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. | 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | Rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| — | hklev book | — | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | Empty ADR-0014 book (HKD 2,000,000 seed cash, no positions). No actionable buy in the 2-name leveraged-ETF universe: both 7709 and 7747 sold off -15.6%/-16.4% and flipped to bearish RallySell_BearTrend AVOID; no holdings to dispose. Valuation-blind (NA_ETF), technical-only. Overlay event-gate (FOMC minutes 07-08, Hynix ADR debut 07-10, CPI 07-14) plus bearish signals argue to keep dry. |
| 7709 | XL2CSOPHYNIX | 91.70 | NO ACTION | 91.70 | 111.78 | n/a | 85.70 (-6.5%) | 130.67 (+42.5%) | AVOID, conv 29 (deteriorated ->29). Signal flipped FailedBreakdown_Up_20D (WATCH) to RallySell_BearTrend (bearish); price crashed 108..70 (-15.6%) in one session; bearish setup (stop 111.78 above, target 85.70 below). Falling-knife 2x leveraged ETF, not buyable (L1/B). Declining the 07-06 chase @108.70 avoided a -15.6% drawdown. Re-arm needs a bullish PullbackBuy_VWAP or conv >= 65 (far off). Overlay: no leverage into FOMC minutes 07-08 / Hynix ADR debut 07-10; standing close<101 exit override moot (no position, though 7709 did close 91.70). |
| 7747 | XL2CSOPSMSN | 123.25 | NO ACTION | 123.25 | 143.71 | n/a | 115.70 (-6.1%) | 127.60 (+3.5%) | AVOID, conv 42 (was NO TRADE conv 0). Flipped to bearish RallySell_BearTrend; close crashed 147..25 (-16.4%); bearish setup (stop 143.71 above, target 115.70 below). Falling-knife 2x leveraged ETF, 23 pts under the 65 floor, not buyable. |
Outcome & track record
Accuracy at the time of this record.
0 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one.
0.000 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
22 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.