Recommendations
0 to acquire · 0 to dispose
| Ticker | Name | Close | Action | Action Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. | Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. | 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | Rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| — | hklev book | — | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | Empty ADR-0014 book (HKD 2,000,000 seed cash, no positions). No actionable buy in the 2-name leveraged-ETF universe: both 7709 and 7747 fell another -9.8%/-13.4% and now print bearish BreakdownDown_20D AVOID with negative model price targets (conv 37 each, 28 under the 65 floor); no holdings to dispose. Valuation-blind (NA_ETF), technical-only. Overlay event-gate (FOMC minutes 07-08, Hynix ADR debut 07-10, CPI 07-14) plus bearish breakdown signals argue to keep dry. |
| 7709 | XL2CSOPHYNIX | 82.74 | NO ACTION | 76.12 | 139.26 | n/a | -50.15 (-165.9%) | 107.08 (+40.7%) | AVOID, conv 37. Signal deepened RallySell_BearTrend -> BreakdownDown_20D (bearish breakdown continuation) with a negative model price target (-50.15). Price fell again 91..74 (-9.8%); falling-knife 2x leveraged ETF, not buyable (L1/B). Declining the 07-06 chase @108.70 now avoids -24%. Re-arm needs a bullish PullbackBuy_VWAP or conv >= 65 (far off). Overlay: no leverage into FOMC minutes 07-08 / Hynix ADR debut 07-10 / CPI 07-14; standing close<101 exit override moot (no position; 7709 closed 82.74). |
| 7747 | XL2CSOPSMSN | 106.70 | NO ACTION | 106.11 | 172.55 | n/a | -26.76 (-125.2%) | 91.22 (-14.0%) | AVOID, conv 37 (was 42). Flipped to bearish BreakdownDown_20D with a negative model price target (-26.76); close crashed 123..70 (-13.4%). Falling-knife 2x leveraged ETF, 28 pts under the 65 floor, not buyable. |
Outcome & track record
Accuracy at the time of this record.
0 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one.
0.000 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
22 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.