Recommendations
0 to acquire · 0 to dispose
| Ticker | Name | Close | Action | Action Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. | Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. | 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | Rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| — | hklev book | — | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | Empty ADR-0014 book (HKD 2,000,000 seed cash, no positions). No actionable buy in the 2-name leveraged-ETF universe: both 7709 and 7747 bounced off their breakdown lows (+16.1%/+5.7%) but stay AVOID -- 7709 conv rebounded yet is still 1 pt under the 65 floor on a bearish FailedBreakout_Down_20D label, 7747 conv 43 is a bearish BreakdownDown_20D with a negative model target; no holdings to dispose. Valuation-blind (NA_ETF), technical-only. Overlay event-gate (Hynix ADR debut 07-10 tomorrow, CPI 07-14) argues to keep dry despite 7709's constructive conviction tick. |
| 7709 | XL2CSOPHYNIX | 96.00 | NO ACTION | 96.00 | 96.00 | n/a | n/a | 115.71 (+20.5%) | AVOID, conv 64 -- the closest 7709 has come (conv rebounded, +27) after a +16.1% bounce (82..0). Signal softened BreakdownDown_20D -> FailedBreakout_Down_20D, but it is still a bearish/breakdown-tinged family with no bullish actionable label (Portion 0, no Buy_Rank) and conv is still 1 pt under the 65 floor. Not buyable yet (L1/B); re-arm needs a bullish PullbackBuy_VWAP or a bullish family clearing conv 65. Overlay: no leverage into the 07-10 Hynix ADR debut (tomorrow) / CPI 07-14; standing close<101 exit override moot (no position; closed 96.0). |
| 7747 | XL2CSOPSMSN | 112.80 | NO ACTION | 98.91 | 159.99 | n/a | -23.24 (-123.5%) | 84.65 (-14.4%) | AVOID, conv 43 (up from 37). Still bearish BreakdownDown_20D with a negative model price target (-23.24) and a T12 (84.65) below the close. Price recovered 106..80 (+5.7%) but the setup stays a falling-knife 2x leveraged ETF, 22 pts under the 65 floor, not buyable. |
Outcome & track record
Accuracy at the time of this record.
0 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one.
0.000 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
22 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.