Recommendations
0 to acquire · 0 to dispose
| Ticker | Name | Close | Action | Action Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. | Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. | 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | Rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| — | hklev book | — | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | Empty ADR-0014 book (HKD 2,000,000 seed cash, no positions). No actionable buy in the 2-name leveraged-ETF universe: both 7709 and 7747 are AVOID FailedBreakout_Down_20D (bearish/breakdown family) with no bullish trigger -- 7709 gave back part of its bounce (96..4, -6.9%) on the SK Hynix ADR debut day, conv fell (now 11 under the 65 floor); 7747 conv ticked but its T12 collapsed to 74.30 (~33% below close); no holdings to dispose. Valuation-blind (NA_ETF), technical-only. Overlay event-gate (Hynix ADR debut passed 07-10 without a bullish spark, CPI 07-14) argues to keep dry. |
| 7709 | XL2CSOPHYNIX | 89.40 | NO ACTION | 89.40 | 89.40 | n/a | n/a | 97.76 (+9.4%) | AVOID, conv 54 -- retreated from the 07-09 near-miss (was cv64, 1 pt under floor). The SK Hynix ADR debut arrived today and did not ignite the 2x ETF: 7709 gave back -6.9% (96..4), conviction fell (now 11 pts under the 65 floor) and T12 dropped 115..76 (only ~9% above close). Signal stays bearish FailedBreakout_Down_20D with no bullish actionable label (Portion 0, no Buy_Rank). Not buyable (L1/B); re-arm needs a bullish PullbackBuy_VWAP or a bullish family clearing conv 65. Overlay: no leverage into CPI 07-14; standing close<101 exit override moot (no position; closed 89.4). |
| 7747 | XL2CSOPSMSN | 111.55 | NO ACTION | 111.55 | 111.55 | n/a | n/a | 74.30 (-33.4%) | AVOID, conv 51 (up from 43); label softened BreakdownDown_20D -> FailedBreakout_Down_20D but stays bearish family. Close 112..55 (-1.1%). T12 collapsed 84..30, now ~33% below the close -- a deeply negative forward trajectory, so the name is less buyable, not more, despite the conviction tick. 14 pts under the 65 floor, no entry case. |
Outcome & track record
Accuracy at the time of this record.
0 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one.
0.000 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
22 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.