Recommendations
0 to acquire · 0 to dispose
| Ticker | Name | Close | Action | Action Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. | Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. | 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | Rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| — | hklev book | — | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | Empty ADR-0014 book (HKD 2,000,000 seed cash, no positions). No actionable buy in the 2-name leveraged-ETF universe: both 7709 and 7747 are AVOID on a bearish BreakdownDown_20D label with no bullish trigger, and both collapsed this session -- 7709 crashed -33.0% (89..90), 7747 -20.1% (111..14). T12 now sits below close on both (7709 48.86, 7747 50.81), a deeply negative forward view; no holdings to dispose. Valuation-blind (NA_ETF), technical-only. Scorecard counterfactuals show not-acting saved a median -48.72% at 1wk. Overlay event-gate (no new leverage into June CPI 07-14, 1d) reinforces keeping dry. |
| 7709 | XL2CSOPHYNIX | 59.90 | NO ACTION | 75.05 | 75.05 | n/a | n/a | 48.86 (-34.9%) | AVOID, conv 60. Signal reverted FailedBreakout_Down_20D -> BreakdownDown_20D [SELL] (bearish breakdown family). Price crashed -33.0% in one session (89..90); T12 dropped 97..86, now ~18% below the close. The sell-stop entry 75.05 / Target 131.4 are bearish sell-side objectives, not a long entry. No bullish actionable label (Portion 0, no Buy_Rank), 5 pts under the 65 floor. Not buyable (L1/B). Re-arm needs a bullish PullbackBuy_VWAP or bullish family clearing conv 65. Overlay: no leverage into CPI 07-14; standing close<101 exit override moot (no position; closed 59.90). |
| 7747 | XL2CSOPSMSN | 89.14 | NO ACTION | 94.99 | 94.99 | n/a | n/a | 50.81 (-46.5%) | AVOID, conv 50. Signal BreakdownDown_20D [HOLD] (bearish family). Close fell -20.1% (111..14); T12 74..81, now ~43% below the close -- deeply negative forward trajectory. Sell-stop entry 94.99 / Target 152.52 are bearish objectives, not a long entry. 15 pts under the 65 floor, no entry case. |
Outcome & track record
Accuracy at the time of this record.
0 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one.
0.000 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
22 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.