Recommendations
0 to acquire · 0 to dispose
| Ticker | Name | Close | Action | Action Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. | Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. | 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | Rationale |
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| — | AI - HK Leveraged ETFs | — | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | Book stays 100% cash at HKfor a 36th session. The two-session rally fully retraced the 08-18/19 flush (7709 +8.7%, 7747 +17.3% off the 08-19 close, both within ~3% of the 08-17 window peak) yet nothing in the decision layer changed: both trackers still print the bearish FailedBreakout_Down_20D family, conviction rose but converged at 60 - five points under the acquire floor - Target_12Week still sits 43% below close on both, and the model stop still equals entry equals close, so there is no risk-defined entry to take. Valuation is blind on leveraged ETFs, so the technical layer decides alone, and it says do not open. Zero holdings means nothing to dispose. HL-2: all four re-arm gates fail; HL-3: zero-width risk band (7747 16th observed print, 7709 7th); HL-4: the acquire floor screens bullish-actionable labels only. L1 chase flag: 7747 is +28.76% above VWAP, the window's most extended reading - an entry there is a chase on a daily-reset 2x vehicle. Data gap: no 08-20 snapshot exists, so all deltas span two sessions (systemic finding 17). |
| 7709 | XL2CSOPHYNIX | 39.64 | WATCH | 39.64 | 39.64 | n/a | n/a | 22.59 (-43.0%) | Not buyable despite a +8.7% two-session recovery to 39.64. The label is still the bearish FailedBreakout_Down_20D (7th observed print) and the scan's own rationale reads 'Flat; bearish signal (conv=60); do not open (long-only)' - the acquire floor screens bullish-actionable labels only (HL-4), and 60 is under the 65 floor anyway. The 12-week view of 22.59 sits 43.0% BELOW the close, so the Target_12Week >= close re-arm gate fails outright (HL-2), and Stop == Entry == Close with a blank Target_Price leaves no risk-defined entry (HL-3). Constructive but insufficient: held above EMA5 37.45 (+5.8%) and EMA10 36.84 (+7.6%), momentum pillar, volatility pillar off the floor as ATR/close compressed 19.55%->15.45%. Against that, the close surrendered 4.4% off the 41.46 high and finished only 15.7% up the day's range on volume -41.8% off the 08-19 record, it remains 6.1% below EMA20 and 35.2% below EMA50, and its VWAP reading flipped from a -4.19% discount to a +6.98% premium - the cheap-vs-VWAP case is spent (L1). Re-arm bar unchanged: bullish actionable label + a second confirming print + Target_12Week >= close + a usable non-degenerate stop; none of the four is met. No pre-positioning into the 26/27 Aug NVIDIA + PCE cluster (L6/HL-6). |
| 7747 | XL2CSOPSMSN | 88.38 | WATCH | 88.38 | 88.38 | n/a | n/a | 50.38 (-43.0%) | The strongest tape in the book today and still not buyable. 7747 closed 88.38, +17.31% over two sessions and 70.8% up its daily range, rebuilding in one session the entire ladder it lost on 08-19 - back above EMA5 82.12 (+7.6%), EMA10 78.97 (+11.9%), EMA20 80.50 (+9.8%) and back above EMA200 86.11 (+2.6%) - with trend pillar, momentum and conviction. None of that clears a gate: the label is still bearish FailedBreakout_Down_20D (16th observed print), conviction 60 is under the 65 floor, Target_12Week 50.38 is 43.0% BELOW close (HL-2 re-arm gate fails), and Stop == Entry == Close with a blank Target_Price is the 16th consecutive zero-width risk band (HL-3). Two independent chase flags: it is +28.76% above VWAP, the most extended reading of the window, which under L1 makes an entry here a chase on a daily-reset 2x vehicle; and its 08-18 EMA200 reclaim was lost the very next session, so today's reclaim is unconfirmed - and the suspected 08-19 price-history restatement (finding 16) cannot be re-tested because the 08-20 snapshot is missing. Volatility pillar remains pinned at 18 and labelled outright Bearish, regime Transitional, and it is still 9.8% below EMA50. Re-arm bar unchanged: bullish actionable label + second confirming print + Target_12Week >= close + a usable stop. |
Outcome & track record
Accuracy at the time of this record.
0 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one.
0.000 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
50 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.