Recommendations
0 to acquire · 0 to dispose
| Ticker | Name | Close | Action | Action Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. | Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. | 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | Rationale |
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| — | XL2CSOPHYNIX | — | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | Staying in cash on the Hynix 2x tracker. The fund rebounded 6.4% to 39.12 as SK Hynix rose 4.1% in Seoul, closing near the day's high, but it did so on lighter volume. The model downgraded the setup to 'avoid' and publishes no usable stop, so there is no defined-risk trade. This is also the last Hong Kong session before the Fed and Bank of Japan decisions. OPERATIONAL: Action WATCH -> AVOID (family FailedBreakdown_Up_20D -> FailedBreakout_Down_20D [HOLD], HLP-36/43), cv, not in buy pool (HLP-17: bearish-row conviction is not a gate). Risk block degenerate: Stop == Entry == Close 39.12, blank Target (HL-3/HLP-42). Close-vs-open +4.04%, range 76th pctile, vol 69.3M (-13%) -> rally without participation (HLP-19/23). -1.6% under EMA20 39.74 (inside 1 ATR, HLP-22). ATR 10.4% of price. T12 clamp 0.5700x, 12th session (HLP-31/38). RE-ARM: bullish actionable label + adj conv >= 65 + ATR-derived stop >= 1.0x ATR stable 2 bars + same-family print closing above EMA20 on rising volume; no first entry before FOMC 17-Sep / BoJ 18-Sep (L6/HLP-12). |
| — | XL2CSOPSMSN | — | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | Staying out of the Samsung 2x tracker. The fund rose 3.2% to 68.26 as Samsung gained 2.0% in Seoul, but volume fell and the price is still 8% below its 20-day average. The model's label moved from 'no trade' to 'avoid' with no usable stop, so there is no defined-risk entry, and the Fed and Bank of Japan decisions land over the next two days. OPERATIONAL: Action NO TRADE -> AVOID on FailedBreakout_Down_20D [HOLD]; cv is the same-bar momentum bump (HLP-35), and bearish-row conviction is not a gate (HLP-17), so it is not in the buy pool. Risk block degenerate: Stop == Entry == Close 68.26, blank Target (HL-3). Close-vs-open +1.88%, range 76th pctile, vol 3.50M (-28%). -7.7% vs EMA20 73.97, -19.9% vs EMA50 85.18. ATR 7.8% of price. T12 clamp 0.5700x (HLP-38). RE-ARM: bullish actionable label + adj conv >= 65 + ATR-derived stop >= 1.0x ATR stable 2 bars + EMA20 (73.97) reclaim held 2 closes on rising volume (HLP-11); nothing before FOMC/BoJ and the 21-Sep Korea 1-20 Sep export print. |
Outcome & track record
Accuracy at the time of this record.
0 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one.
0.000 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
89 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.