Recommendations
0 to acquire · 0 to dispose
| Ticker | Name | Close | Action | Action Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. | Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. | 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | Rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| — | XL2CSOPHYNIX | — | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | Staying in cash on the Hynix 2x tracker. The fund opened higher after Monday's crash but was sold all day, closing down 0.7% at 36.76 and still well below its 20-day average, while the model's confidence slipped and its suggested stop sits only about 4% under the price on a fund that routinely moves 12% a day. With the Fed on Thursday and the Bank of Japan on Friday, there is no reason to buy before those events. OPERATIONAL: adj conviction 49 (49 + val_adj 0 [NA_ETF] + bias 0 [0 graded]) vs 65 floor - short 16; Action WATCH (not in buy pool). Gap-and-fade: open 37.74 (+1.94%) -> close 36.76 (-2.60% vs open), vol 80.0M (-40%). Risk block Entry 36.76 / Stop 35.39 = Entry - 0.30x ATR / Target 45.90 = +2.0x ATR: fails HLP-41 1.0x ATR floor -> treated as not emitted. Below EMA20 39.78 (-7.6%); HLP-43 print on wrong tape. T12 clamp 0.5699x 11th session (HLP-31/38). RE-ARM: bullish actionable label + adj conv >= 65 + ATR-derived stop >= 1.0x ATR stable 2 bars + same-family print on a bar closing above EMA20 on rising volume; no first entry before 17-Sep FOMC / 18-Sep BoJ (L6/HLP-12). |
| — | XL2CSOPSMSN | — | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | Staying out of the Samsung 2x tracker, which still gives no trade signal at all. It opened 2.5% higher and faded to finish flat at 66.12, 11% below its 20-day average and 23% below its 50-day, and the model publishes no entry or stop, so there is no defined trade to take. OPERATIONAL: adj conviction 0 vs 65 floor - short 65. NoTrade_Reason verbatim: 'Consensus conflict + low conviction' (trend 62 bullish vs momentum 24 / volatility 18 bearish, Conflicted), 2nd session. Open 67.70 -> close 66.12 (-2.33% vs open), vol 4.87M (-23%), RSI 41.6, ATR 9.4% of price. T12 clamp 0.5700x (inadmissible, HLP-38). RE-ARM: bullish actionable label + adj conv >= 65 + ATR-derived stop >= 1.0x ATR stable 2 bars + EMA20 (74.58) reclaim held 2 closes on rising volume (HLP-11); nothing before FOMC/BoJ and the 21-Sep Korea 1-20 Sep export print. |
Outcome & track record
Accuracy at the time of this record.
0 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one.
0.000 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
50 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.