Recommendations
0 to acquire · 0 to dispose
| Ticker | Name | Close | Action | Action Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. | Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. | 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | Rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| — | XL2CSOPHYNIX | — | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | Staying in cash on the Hynix 2x tracker. The fund fell 13.7% to 37.02 as SK Hynix dropped 6.4% in Seoul on heavy volume, closing near the day's low and back below its 20-day average; the stop level the model printed last Friday was gapped through by 8% at the open, which shows how little protection its tight stops offer on an instrument this volatile. With a Fed decision on Thursday morning and the Bank of Japan on Friday, there is no reason to catch this fall before those events land. OPERATIONAL: adj conviction 52 (52 + val_adj 0 [NA_ETF] + bias 0 [0 graded]) vs 65 floor - short 13; Action WATCH (not in buy pool). HLP-43 same-family second print met on paper but printed on a -13.7% / +61% volume bar closing at the 21st pctile below EMA20 - noise, not confirmation (HLP-23 resets). Risk block Entry 37.02 = Close / Stop 35.69 = Entry - 0.30x ATR / Target 45.90 = Entry + 2.00x ATR: stop fails HLP-41 1.0x ATR minimum on a 12.0%-ATR instrument -> treated as not emitted; R:R not quoted. 09-11 stop 40.50 gapped through at 09-14 open 37.18 (HLP-41 vindicated). T12 clamp 0.5700x 10th session (HL-2 T12 leg SUSPENDED-PENDING-FIX, HLP-31). L1 discounts the family. RE-ARM: bullish actionable label (not WATCH) + adj conv >= 65 + stop >= 1.0x ATR below an ATR-derived entry stable 2 bars + same-family 2nd print on a bar closing above EMA20 on rising volume; no first entry before the 17-Sep FOMC / 18-Sep BoJ pair (L6/HLP-12). |
| — | XL2CSOPSMSN | — | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | Staying out of the Samsung 2x tracker, which has now dropped out of the model's signal set altogether. The fund fell 9.6% to 66.08, closing at the very low of the day on higher volume as Samsung fell 4.1% in Seoul, and it now sits 11% below its 20-day average and 23% below its 50-day. The model's confidence has gone from 76 to zero in five sessions and it publishes no entry or stop, so there is no defined trade to take. OPERATIONAL: adj conviction 0 vs 65 floor - short 65. NoTrade_Reason verbatim: 'Consensus conflict + low conviction' (trend 62 bullish vs momentum 24 / volatility 18 bearish, Conflicted). Range pos 2.5th pctile, vol 6.31M (+35%), RSI 41.6, ATR 9.0% of price. T12 clamp 0.5701x (inadmissible, HLP-38). RE-ARM: bullish actionable label + adj conv >= 65 + ATR-derived stop >= 1.0x ATR stable 2 bars + reclaim of EMA20 (74.58) held 2 closes on rising volume (HLP-11); stage nothing before the FOMC/BoJ pair and the 21-Sep Korea 1-20 Sep export print. |
Outcome & track record
Accuracy at the time of this record.
0 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one.
0.000 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
50 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.