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HK End-of-Day Verdict 18 Sept 2026, 16:00:00 GMT+8

HK Leveraged ETFs — End-of-Day Verdict

EOD 2026-09-18 (hklev)

Recommendations

0 to acquire · 0 to dispose

TickerNameCloseActionAction Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. Rationale
—XL2CSOPHYNIX—NO ACTION——n/an/an/aStill in cash on the Hynix 2x tracker, even after a strong day. The fund jumped 9.6% to 43.30 on double the usual volume and closed well above its 20-day average, with SK Hynix up 6.4% in Seoul. The model has not turned bullish, though: it reads the day as a conflict and publishes no entry or stop. We want the move to hold one more session, and the Korea export print on Monday, before buying. OPERATIONAL: AVOID -> NO TRADE cv0 ('Consensus conflict + low conviction'), not in the buy pool. Gap +6.63% to open 42.12, close-vs-open +2.80%, range 83rd pctile, vol 119.1M (+98%). +8.7% vs EMA20 39.84 = reclaim day (HLP-11); -11.5% vs EMA50 48.95. ATR 9.1% of price. T12 clamp 0.570x, 14th session (HLP-31/38). Mark series 8/11 cost; HLP-21(c) sustain 3/5 sessions, earliest 22-Sep (HLP-28: logged, not acted on). RE-ARM: bullish actionable label + adj conv >= 65 + ATR-derived stop >= 1.0x ATR stable 2 bars + EMA20 reclaim held 2 closes; no entry before the 21-Sep Korea 1-20 Sep export print (L6/HLP-12).
—XL2CSOPSMSN—NO ACTION——n/an/an/aStaying out of the Samsung 2x tracker. The fund rose 4.9% to 72.32 on heavier volume as Samsung gained 3.4%, but it was turned back right at its 20-day average. The model still rates it 'avoid' with no usable stop, so there is still no defined-risk entry ahead of Monday's Korea export data. OPERATIONAL: AVOID FailedBreakout_Down_20D [HOLD] 3rd bar, cv (bearish-row conviction, HLP-17/35: not a gate). Stop == Entry == Close 72.32, blank target (HL-3/HLP-42). Gap +3.71%, close-vs-open +1.15%, range 63rd pctile, vol 5.54M (+141%). -1.1% vs EMA20 73.16 (high 73.22 tagged and rejected), -13.9% vs EMA50 83.96. ATR 6.8% of price. T12 clamp 0.570x (HLP-38). RE-ARM: bullish actionable label + adj conv >= 65 + ATR-derived stop >= 1.0x ATR stable 2 bars + EMA20 (73.16) reclaim held 2 closes on rising volume (HLP-11); nothing before the 21-Sep Korea export print.

Outcome & track record

Accuracy at the time of this record.

0 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one.
0.000 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
89 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.

This website is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always do your own research and assess your own risk tolerance before making investment decisions.