Recommendations
0 to acquire · 0 to dispose
| Ticker | Name | Close | Action | Action Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. | Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. | 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | Rationale |
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| — | XL2CSOPHYNIX | — | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | Still in cash on the Hynix 2x tracker. It held above its 20-day average for a second day, closing up 2.3% at 44.30, but the gain was all in the opening gap: it slipped after the open on half the previous session's volume, and SK Hynix was nearly flat in Seoul. The model still reads a conflict and publishes no entry or stop. Korea's market is also closed Thursday and Friday for Chuseok, so the fund will trade with no underlying price behind it. OPERATIONAL: NO TRADE cv0 2nd bar ('Consensus conflict + low conviction'). Gap +2.77% to 44.50, close-vs-open -0.45%, range 41st pctile, vol 59.9M (-50%). +10.0% vs EMA20 40.27 = reclaim held 2 closes (HLP-11 price rung met, participation failed HLP-19/23); -8.5% vs EMA50 48.42. ATR 7.0% of price. T12 clamp 0.570x, 15th session (HLP-31/38). Mark series 10/12 cost (~HK gross); HLP-21(c) sustain 4/5, earliest 22-Sep (HLP-28: review agenda, not entry). RE-ARM: bullish actionable label same family 2 bars + adj conv >= 65 + ATR-derived stop >= 1.0x ATR (HLP-48); no next-open card into KRX Chuseok 24-25 Sep / 28-Sep reopen gap. |
| — | XL2CSOPSMSN | — | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | Staying out of the Samsung 2x tracker despite a strong day. The fund rose 9.2% to 79.00 on heavier volume and closed above its 20-day average, with Samsung up 5% in Seoul. The model still rates it 'avoid' with no usable stop, so there is no defined-risk entry, and Korea's Chuseok closure on Thursday and Friday makes this week a poor time to open a position. OPERATIONAL: AVOID FailedBreakout_Down_20D [HOLD] 4th bar, cv (bearish-row conviction, HLP-17/35: not a gate). Stop == Entry == Close 79.00, blank target (HL-3/HLP-42). Gap +7.85%, close-vs-open +1.28%, range 61st pctile, vol 7.98M (+44%). +7.7% vs EMA20 73.38 = reclaim day (HLP-11); -5.1% vs EMA50 83.21. ATR 6.2% of price. T12 clamp 0.570x (HLP-38). RE-ARM: bullish actionable label same family 2 bars + adj conv >= 65 + ATR-derived stop >= 1.0x ATR (HLP-48) + EMA20 held a 2nd close on rising volume; no next-open card into KRX Chuseok 24-25 Sep. |
Outcome & track record
Accuracy at the time of this record.
0 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one.
0.000 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
89 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.