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HK End-of-Day Verdict 22 Sept 2026, 16:00:00 GMT+8

HK Leveraged ETFs — End-of-Day Verdict

EOD 2026-09-22 (hklev)

Recommendations

0 to acquire · 0 to dispose

TickerNameCloseActionAction Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. Rationale
—XL2CSOPHYNIX—NO ACTION——n/an/an/aStill in cash on the Hynix 2x tracker. It opened 5% higher and then sold off hard, closing down 4.1% at 42.50 near the day's low on heavier volume, after SK Hynix itself gapped up and faded in Seoul. The model still reads a conflict and publishes no entry or stop, and Korea's market is shut Thursday and Friday for Chuseok. OPERATIONAL: NO TRADE cv0 3rd bar ('Consensus conflict + low conviction'). Gap +5.28% to 46.64, close-vs-open -8.88%, range 9th pctile, vol 97.6M (+63%) = distribution-shaped reversal. +6.0% vs EMA20 40.10 (3rd close above, but a bearish reversal bar); -12.1% vs EMA50 48.35. ATR 8.9% of price. T12 clamp 0.570x, 16th session (HLP-31/38). Mark series 9/13 cost (~HK gross vs ~HK saved); HLP-21(c) sustain 5/5 -> TRIGGERED: gate review goes on the next interactive learnings agenda (HLP-28), not an entry. The 09-21 card (fill 09-22 open 46.64) marks -8.9% - the discipline saved on the latest card (HLP-46). RE-ARM: bullish actionable label same family 2 bars + adj conv >= 65 + ATR-derived stop; no next-open card into KRX Chuseok 24-25 Sep / 28-Sep reopen gap.
—XL2CSOPSMSN—NO ACTION——n/an/an/aStaying out of the Samsung 2x tracker. It opened 4.4% higher but gave it all back to close on the day's low at 79.68 (+0.9%) on lighter volume, mirroring a gap-and-fade in Samsung shares. The model still rates it 'avoid' with no usable stop, so there is no defined-risk entry, and the Chuseok closure makes this week a poor time to open. OPERATIONAL: AVOID FailedBreakout_Down_20D [HOLD] 5th bar, cv63 flat (bearish-row conviction, HLP-17/35: not a gate). Stop == Entry == Close 79.68, blank target (HL-3/HLP-42). Gap +4.35% to 82.44, close-vs-open -3.35%, closed on the low (range 0th pctile), vol 6.26M (-22%). +8.5% vs EMA20 73.44 = reclaim held a 2nd close but on falling volume and a red body (HLP-19/23 participation fails); -4.3% vs EMA50 83.23 (<1 ATR, HLP-22). ATR 7.3% of price. T12 clamp 0.570x. RE-ARM: bullish actionable label same family 2 bars + adj conv >= 65 + ATR-derived stop; no next-open card into KRX Chuseok 24-25 Sep.

Outcome & track record

Accuracy at the time of this record.

0 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one.
0.000 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
89 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.

This website is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always do your own research and assess your own risk tolerance before making investment decisions.