HK Semiconductors — End-of-Day Verdict
NO trims (no sells; Hua Hong/7709 trail-not-trim) + 1 ACQUIRE Kingboard 0148 (400 @117.9, ~HK net-new). Shared semis already executed via hk. ~HK dry after.
Recommendations
1 to acquire · 0 to dispose
| Ticker | Name | Close | Action | Action Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. | Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. | 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | Rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0148 | KINGBOARD HLDG | 102.30 | ACQUIRE BUY | 117.90 | 113.08 | 127.55 (+8.2%) | 150.06 (+27.3%) | 168.01 (+42.5%) | |
| 1347 | Hua Hong Semiconductor | 186.10 | HOLD/TRAIL | 212.86 | 200.00⚠ | n/a | 323.81 (+52.1%) | 306.66 (+44.1%) | |
| 7709 | XL2CSOPHYNIX | 109.60 | HOLD/TRAIL | 149.00 | 141.00⚠ | n/a | 202.41 (+35.8%) | 212.32 (+42.5%) | |
| 0981 | SMIC | 80.40 | HOLD | 90.63 | 79.35 | n/a | 141.83 (+56.5%) | 118.91 (+31.2%) | |
| 0522 | ASMPT | 194.20 | HOLD | 225.50 | 190.00 | n/a | 381.75 (+69.3%) | 340.29 (+50.9%) | |
| 6869 | YOFC | 198.30 | HOLD | 255.40 | 245.60⚠ | n/a | 315.94 (+23.7%) | 343.57 (+34.5%) |
Outcome & track record
Accuracy at the time of this record.
2 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one. See the decisions →
0.000 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
21 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.