HK Semiconductors — End-of-Day record | algo2alpha

Total-Return Index 99.9 -0.1% since inception Performance ›

Today's recommendations

0 to acquire · 0 to dispose

Ticker	Name	Close	Action	Action Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice.	Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice.	1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close.	4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close.	12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close.	Rationale
0992	Lenovo Group Limited	23.42	HOLD	23.42	22.80	24.30 (+3.8%)	26.35 (+12.5%)	33.04 (+41.1%)	Lenovo stays a hold through the sector shock. The shares gave back 3.70% to HKon a day the Asian chip complex was routed by China-competition and AI-bubble fears, leaving the position a hair under our HKcost (-0.26%) - but conviction actually ROSE and the signal stayed bullish, a constructive divergence rather than deterioration. The 12-week view of HKis still +41% and sits comfortably below our HKDCF anchor, so the shares are not expensive against what the business earns; valuation is FAIR_VALUE (MoS -0.37) and contributes nothing either way. Lenovo is an AI-PC and server story, not a memory maker, and was not named in any event in the next ten trading days. OPERATIONAL: trail HELD at HK - the 1.0xATR chandelier computes 21.95 (below the standing trail, so the ratchet holds rather than lowers), and the model Stop_Price 22.92 is again exactly today's Low and is NOT adopted (HS-3a; same artifact as 07-27's 23.48). Cushion is thin: today's low 22.92 came within HK (0.08 ATR) of the trail. Ex-dividend HKon 2026-08-05 mechanically marks the close to ~23.08 - apply the trail test to the cum-div-adjusted level, do NOT read the ex-div gap as a breakdown. Not PROFIT_ARMED (Gain_ATR -0.04, T12_Progress 70.88%) so ADR-0012 is inert; no Exit_Warning; L2 not met. A decisive close below 22.80 re-arms the exit - act on that open (L3). 1wk uses f=0.30 (L5, calib_1w -0.157 degenerate). · news

Outcome & track record

How accurate the calls have been.

10 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one. See the decisions →

-0.157 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.

21 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.

Signal-type track record How each signal *type* has performed across ALL of this book's past decisions — not a per-stock note. 'bias' is the conviction nudge (+/-) applied to a fresh signal of that type; n = sample size, hit_1w = share that hit the 1-week target. Reliable cells earn a boost; weak ones a haircut.

How each signal type has performed across this book's past decisions (aggregate, not per-stock) — and the conviction nudge it earns.

FailedBreakdown_Up_20D (buy): 6 past trades, 67% hit the 1-week target → +3 conviction nudge.

Portfolio & signals

Every name we scanned, and where it stands.

Ticker	Name	Close	Signal The chart pattern the engine detected on this name. Hover a signal for its one-line definition; click it for the full setup/trigger rules, the trade box it produces, and the newsletter issue that teaches the underlying concept.	Action	Conv	1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close.	4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close.	12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close.
0992H	Lenovo Group Limited	23.42	FailedBreakdown_Up_20D	HOLD	67	24.30 (+3.8%)	26.35 (+12.5%)	33.04 (+41.1%)
7709	XL2CSOPHYNIX	38.02	BreakdownDown_20D	AVOID	90	12.41 (-67.4%)	-54.72 (-243.9%)	21.67 (-43.0%)
7747	XL2CSOPSMSN	61.12	BreakdownDown_20D	AVOID	90	21.29 (-65.2%)	-62.35 (-202.0%)	34.84 (-43.0%)
0068	MANYCORE TECH	7.82	RallySell_BearTrend	AVOID	72	7.84 (+0.3%)	7.90 (+1.0%)	4.46 (-43.0%)
0148	KINGBOARD HLDG	42.22	OversoldBounce_Up	BUY	71	48.88 (+15.8%)	64.43 (+52.6%)	24.07 (-43.0%)
0981	SMIC	69.10	FailedBreakout_Down_20D	AVOID	67	n/a	n/a	57.77 (-16.4%)
0522	ASMPT	139.50	BreakdownDown_20D	AVOID	62	113.26 (-18.8%)	29.87 (-78.6%)	98.07 (-29.7%)
2382	Sunny Optical Technology	58.05	FailedBreakout_Down_20D	AVOID	52	n/a	n/a	37.69 (-35.1%)
6869	YOFC	109.30	BreakdownDown_20D	AVOID	42	69.24 (-36.7%)	-24.15 (-122.1%)	62.30 (-43.0%)
1347	Hua Hong Semiconductor	138.30	NoTrade	NO TRADE	0	n/a	n/a	133.08 (-3.8%)
2318	Aac Technologies Holdings	57.10	NoTrade	NO TRADE	0	n/a	n/a	51.94 (-9.0%)
3750	CATL	603.50	NoTrade	NO TRADE	0	n/a	n/a	470.98 (-22.0%)

HK Semiconductors — End-of-Day Verdict

0 to acquire · 0 to dispose

How accurate the calls have been.

Every name we scanned, and where it stands.

Earlier end-of-day records.