HK Semiconductors — End-of-Day record | algo2alpha

Total-Return Index 112.4 -8.4% (4W) Performance ›

Today's recommendations

0 to acquire · 0 to dispose

Ticker	Name	Close	Action	Action Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice.	Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice.	1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close.	4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close.	12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close.	Rationale
0992	Lenovo Group Limited	31.20	HOLD	31.20	29.96	32.55 (+4.3%)	35.70 (+14.4%)	44.37 (+42.2%)	Holding Lenovo without adding: the model flashed another add signal after the stock faded a gap-up to close down 3%, but after a small valuation discount and a newly-earned penalty for this signal family's weak record in this book it falls short of the bar, and the position is already at the book's single-name cap. Trend and trail are intact. Declined BUY - ADD cv70 -> adj 62 (val -3, PullbackBuy_VWAP\|buy bias -5 newly actionable n=5); 60% cap headroom HK < one 2,000-sh lot (HS-26). Trail 29.96 stands (chandelier 29.53, model stop 29.05 rejected HS-3a); buffer 0.71 ATR. Exit 100% on settled close <29.96; hold through FOMC 09-17 / iPhone 09-18. f=0.30 (L5). · news
2382	Sunny Optical Technology	67.15	HOLD	67.15	67.02	68.76 (+2.4%)	72.53 (+8.0%)	76.45 (+13.8%)	Holding the remaining Sunny Optical shares: yesterday's 30% trim filled at the open and the stock then closed back above its protective level, which was the written condition to stop cutting. The model's conviction has cooled, so the next close below that level exits the rest. Pre-commit 2 (reclaim >=67.05) RESOLVED at 67.15; trim filled @67.55 (txn hksemicon-20260915-0001). Trail 67.02 stands (model stop 66.34 rejected, 11th); buffer 0.05 ATR. New pre-commit: EXIT 100% on next settled close <67.02 (HS-7 partial already spent) or bearish-family flip; 2nd sub-50 print = de-risk basis; re-add only on BUY* with Entry >67.02 and adj >=65, after iPhone prints. Not armed (HS-2). f=0.30. · news
—	AI - HK Semiconductors	—	NO ACTION	—	—	n/a	n/a	n/a	No trades tonight. Sunny Optical's trim filled and the stock reclaimed its protective level, so the remaining shares are held with a written exit; Lenovo's add signal falls short once valuation and the signal family's weak local record are counted, and the position is at its cap. No new money goes to work ahead of the 17 September Fed decision. Book HK (-1.67%); cash HK (33.6%). Fairvalue regenerated; PullbackBuy_VWAP\|buy newly actionable -5. Step 8a skipped (batch).

Outcome & track record

How accurate the calls have been.

20 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one. See the decisions →

-0.097 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.

49 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.

Signal-type track record How each signal *type* has performed across ALL of this book's past decisions — not a per-stock note. 'bias' is the conviction nudge (+/-) applied to a fresh signal of that type; n = sample size, hit_1w = share that hit the 1-week target. Reliable cells earn a boost; weak ones a haircut.

How each signal type has performed across this book's past decisions (aggregate, not per-stock) — and the conviction nudge it earns.

FailedBreakdown_Up_20D (buy): 8 past trades, 71% hit the 1-week target → +4 conviction nudge.
PullbackBuy_VWAP (buy): 5 past trades, 25% hit the 1-week target → -5 conviction nudge.

Portfolio & signals

Every name we scanned, and where it stands.

Ticker	Name	Close	Signal The chart pattern the engine detected on this name. Hover a signal for its one-line definition; click it for the full setup/trigger rules, the trade box it produces, and the newsletter issue that teaches the underlying concept.	Action	Conv	1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close.	4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close.	12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close.
0992H	Lenovo Group Limited	31.20	PullbackBuy_VWAP	BUY - ADD	70	32.63 (+4.6%)	35.70 (+14.4%)	44.37 (+42.2%)
2382H	Sunny Optical Technology	67.15	FailedBreakdown_Up_20D	HOLD	47	68.76 (+2.4%)	72.53 (+8.0%)	76.45 (+13.8%)
3750	CATL	516.00	BreakdownDown_20D	AVOID	90	485.29 (-6.0%)	371.92 (-27.9%)	294.12 (-43.0%)
7747	XL2CSOPSMSN	66.12	RallySell_BearTrend	AVOID	79	65.59 (-0.8%)	64.34 (-2.7%)	37.69 (-43.0%)
0522	ASMPT	154.10	RallySell_BearTrend	AVOID	75	153.77 (-0.2%)	153.00 (-0.7%)	124.83 (-19.0%)
0068	MANYCORE TECH	7.90	RallySell_BearTrend	AVOID	72	7.95 (+0.6%)	8.06 (+2.0%)	4.50 (-43.0%)
6869	YOFC	173.20	PullbackBuy_VWAP	BUY	70	179.33 (+3.5%)	205.24 (+18.5%)	200.53 (+15.8%)
2318	Aac Technologies Holdings	53.05	BreakdownDown_20D	AVOID	40	50.13 (-5.5%)	43.68 (-17.7%)	45.51 (-14.2%)
0981	SMIC	60.75	BreakdownDown_20D	AVOID	35	54.62 (-10.1%)	41.52 (-31.7%)	41.15 (-32.3%)
1347	Hua Hong Semiconductor	105.70	BreakdownDown_20D	AVOID	35	88.26 (-16.5%)	52.55 (-50.3%)	60.25 (-43.0%)
0148	KINGBOARD HLDG	55.25	BreakoutUp_20D	WATCH	33	65.78 (+19.1%)	86.15 (+55.9%)	42.84 (-22.5%)
7709	XL2CSOPHYNIX	36.76	NoTrade	NO TRADE	0	n/a	n/a	20.95 (-43.0%)

HK Semiconductors — End-of-Day Verdict

0 to acquire · 0 to dispose

How accurate the calls have been.

Every name we scanned, and where it stands.

Earlier end-of-day records.