Recommendations
0 to acquire · 0 to dispose
| Ticker | Name | Close | Action | Action Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. | Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. | 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | Rationale |
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| — | hksemicon book | — | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | The book stays fully in cash for a seventh session. The 10-28 rally reversed, and only two bullish prints remain (Manycore and SMIC); both fail the quality screen, and SMIC is also below the conviction floor. Every quality-passing name now prints NO TRADE or AVOID. Deliberate cash per HS-34(b); review EOD 10-30. |
| 0068 | MANYCORE TECH | 3.28 | WATCH | 3.28 | 1.55 | 3.74 (+14.0%) | 4.82 (+47.0%) | 1.87 (-43.0%) | Manycore still prints a strong reversal buy, but it gave back 13% to close near the session low, and the company fails the quality screen on negative free cash flow. Quality gate; HS-20 (7% of range); 12wk railed (HS-38). f=0.30. · news |
| 0981 | SMIC | 44.96 | WATCH | 44.96 | 36.61 | 47.17 (+4.9%) | 52.31 (+16.3%) | 25.63 (-43.0%) | SMIC re-printed a buy after a 6% drop, but it is richly priced against intrinsic value and fails the quality screen, leaving adjusted conviction below the floor. adj 64 < 65; quality gate; HS-20 (13% of range); 12wk railed. f=0.30. · news |
Outcome & track record
Accuracy at the time of this record.
19 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one. See the decisions →
-0.903 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
88 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.