Recommendations
0 to acquire · 0 to dispose
| Ticker | Name | Close | Action | Action Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. | Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. | 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | Rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| — | hksemicon book | — | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | The book stays fully in cash for a sixth session: the only quality-passing buy prints (Sunny Optical breakout, CATL bounce) each fail a confirmation test, and the other bullish prints fail the quality screen. Deliberate cash per HS-34(b); review EOD 10-29. |
| 2382 | Sunny Optical Technology | 65.80 | NO ACTION | 66.08 | 55.04 | 72.71 (+10.0%) | 88.17 (+33.4%) | 61.54 (-6.9%) | Sunny Optical flipped to a breakout buy on rising volume and screens cheap with good quality, but the model's own 12-week view sits below the entry price and the close missed the top of the day's range. Genuine negative 12wk (note B/HS-38), HS-20 range test 72%<75%, L1 breakout discount; 1st print. Graded as an optional buy-stop @66.08 (HS-13 budget 4,100, halved HS-20). Re-arm: 2nd bullish print adj>=65 + 12wk>=entry or railed + settled close above live buy-stop or top-25% close on >=1.5x vol. · news |
| 0522 | ASMPT | 118.30 | WATCH | 118.30 | 87.45 | 125.11 (+5.8%) | 141.01 (+19.2%) | 67.43 (-43.0%) | ASMPT printed a strong reversal buy, but it fails the quality screen, closed lower near the session low, and the print comes straight after Q3 results. Quality gate; L6 post-earnings; HS-20 (23% of range); 12wk railed. f=0.30. · news |
| 3750 | CATL | 346.40 | WATCH | 346.40 | 285.69 | 369.40 (+6.6%) | 423.06 (+22.1%) | 197.45 (-43.0%) | CATL gave a second consecutive buy print, but it closed lower again near the session low on flat volume, so the bounce is unconfirmed. Re-arm leg (b) failed; 12wk railed (HS-38); budget at 2% risk if it re-arms. · news |
| 0068 | MANYCORE TECH | 3.77 | WATCH | 3.77 | 1.59 | 4.13 (+9.5%) | 4.98 (+32.1%) | 2.15 (-43.0%) | Manycore jumped 21% to close at the high, but the company still fails the quality screen on negative free cash flow, and chasing a +20% day breaks the no-chase rule. Quality gate; 12wk railed. · news |
| 1347 | Hua Hong Semiconductor | 70.00 | WATCH | 70.00 | 50.99 | 73.78 (+5.4%) | 82.60 (+18.0%) | 39.90 (-43.0%) | Hua Hong rallied 8%, but it is richly priced against intrinsic value and fails the quality screen, leaving adjusted conviction below the floor. Quality gate; adj 62 < 65; earnings ~11-05. · news |
| 2318 | Aac Technologies Holdings | 48.38 | WATCH | 48.38 | 46.29 | 48.97 (+1.2%) | 50.35 (+4.1%) | 34.61 (-28.5%) | The ticker 2318 maps to Ping An Insurance rather than the mandate's AAC Technologies, and the model projects a 28% decline over 12 weeks, so the buy print is not tradeable. Universe mis-mapping (human fix). · news |
Outcome & track record
Accuracy at the time of this record.
19 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one. See the decisions →
-0.903 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
88 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.