Recommendations
0 to acquire · 0 to dispose
| Ticker | Name | Close | Action | Action Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. | Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. | 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | Rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| — | hksemicon book | — | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | No buy signal cleared both the conviction floor and confirmation today. The only quality-passing print (Lenovo) was a first, unconfirmed flip on a down day, so the book stays 100% cash for a 5th session. HS-34(b) review EOD 10-27 (ASMPT/SK Hynix Q3). |
| 0992 | Lenovo Group Limited | 21.74 | NO ACTION | 21.74 | 16.12 | 23.86 (+9.8%) | 28.82 (+32.6%) | 12.39 (-43.0%) | Lenovo flipped from a high-conviction breakdown to a buy signal, but the flip came on a 4% down day with a mid-range close on light volume, so it needs one more confirming session before the book commits. HS-20 unconfirmed; standard slot = 3.45% risk vs 2% budget; 12wk railed (HS-38); re-arm: 2nd consecutive BUY adj>=65 + higher close or top-25% close on >=1.5x vol. f=0.30. · news |
| 0981 | SMIC | 45.92 | WATCH | 45.92 | 37.05 | 48.50 (+5.6%) | 54.52 (+18.7%) | 26.17 (-43.0%) | SMIC's buy signal weakened sharply (conviction as the stock slipped 2.4%, and with negative free cash flow it still fails the quality screen. Below the 65 floor after val_adj; quality gate. f=0.30. |
| 1347 | Hua Hong Semiconductor | 64.25 | WATCH | 64.25 | 45.60 | 70.76 (+10.1%) | 85.96 (+33.8%) | 36.62 (-43.0%) | Hua Hong fell 4.7% and its buy conviction eased, and deep overvaluation plus negative free cash flow keep it blocked by the quality screen. Quality gate; lower close; earnings ~11-05. f=0.30. |
| 0068 | MANYCORE TECH | 3.10 | WATCH | 3.10 | 1.56 | 3.76 (+21.3%) | 5.32 (+71.6%) | 1.76 (-43.2%) | Manycore spiked intraday but closed near the session low, and the company still fails the quality screen on negative free cash flow. Quality gate; close at 8% of range (HS-20). f=0.30. |
| 2318 | Aac Technologies Holdings | 48.46 | WATCH | 48.46 | 45.67 | 49.15 (+1.4%) | 50.76 (+4.7%) | 33.15 (-31.6%) | The ticker 2318 maps to Ping An Insurance rather than the mandate's AAC Technologies, and the model projects a 32% decline over 12 weeks, so the buy print is not tradeable. Universe mis-mapping (human fix); genuine negative 12wk. |
Outcome & track record
Accuracy at the time of this record.
19 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one. See the decisions →
-0.903 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
88 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.