Recommendations
0 to acquire · 0 to dispose
| Ticker | Name | Close | Action | Action Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. | Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. | 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | Rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| — | hksemicon book | — | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | The book stays fully in cash: chip names bounced, and SMIC, Hua Hong and Manycore all confirmed their buy signals, but each still fails the quality screen on fresh fundamentals (negative free cash flow), and CATL's label flipped to AVOID. 4th consecutive cash session; HS-34(b): cash is gate-driven, not timing-driven; review EOD 10-27. f=0.30. |
| 0981 | SMIC | 47.06 | WATCH | 47.06 | 36.19 | 49.57 (+5.3%) | 55.42 (+17.8%) | 26.82 (-43.0%) | SMIC confirmed its strong-buy reversal with a higher close near the top of the range, but the shares are priced well above intrinsic value and the company fails the quality screen on negative free cash flow, which blocks a new entry. HS-20 met; quality gate re-tested on the 10-23 regeneration (FCF -5.2bn); 12wk railed (HS-38). f=0.30. · news |
| 1347 | Hua Hong Semiconductor | 67.45 | WATCH | 67.45 | 46.09 | 73.69 (+9.3%) | 88.25 (+30.8%) | 38.45 (-43.0%) | Hua Hong's buy signal strengthened for a third session with a close at the top of the range, but deep overvaluation and negative free cash flow fail the quality screen, so it stays blocked. HS-20 met; quality gate (FCF -1.16bn); earnings ~11-05; 12wk railed (HS-38). f=0.30. |
| 0068 | MANYCORE TECH | 3.03 | WATCH | 3.03 | 1.33 | 3.79 (+25.1%) | 5.56 (+83.5%) | 1.73 (-42.9%) | Manycore printed a fourth strong buy on double volume with a higher close, but the company still fails the quality screen on negative free cash flow, so the signal is not tradeable. Quality gate blocks new entries. f=0.30. |
| — | CATL | — | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | CATL bounced 5.4% after the prior session's vetoed buy, but the model flipped its label to AVOID, so the re-arm has no buy signal to act on. Re-arm leg (a) void; prior 10-22 veto cost ~+5.4% over one session. Watchlist unchanged. |
Outcome & track record
Accuracy at the time of this record.
19 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one. See the decisions →
-0.903 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
88 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.