Recommendations
0 to acquire · 0 to dispose
| Ticker | Name | Close | Action | Action Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. | Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. | 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | Rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| — | AI - HK Semiconductors | — | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | The book stays fully in cash through a broad Asian chip sell-off: every buy signal today closed near the bottom of its day's range, and CATL, the lead candidate, fell another 7% without the confirming close its re-entry rule requires. Book HK100% cash, deliberately (HS-34b); review EOD 10-23, then 10-27 after ASMPT/SK Hynix Q3. Step 8a skipped (batch). |
| 3750 | CATL | 338.40 | NO ACTION | 338.40 | 250.71 | 374.34 (+10.6%) | 458.21 (+35.4%) | 192.89 (-43.0%) | CATL screens undervalued with quality and printed a third strong oversold-reversal buy, but it fell another 7.2% and closed near the day's low on lighter volume, so the confirmation the re-entry rule needs has not appeared. Optional veto, graded. Re-arm leg (b) failed (12%-of-range close, 0.72x vol, below prior close); HS-21 (40% below EMA200; T12 railed); HS-13 ( slot = 3.23% book risk; budget). f=0.30. · news |
| 0981 | SMIC | 46.84 | WATCH | 46.84 | 39.31 | 49.68 (+6.1%) | 56.30 (+20.2%) | 26.70 (-43.0%) | SMIC flipped to a strong oversold-reversal buy on a 6% drop, but it closed at the day's low, trades far above its earnings-power value, and fails the quality screen, which blocks new entries. Quality gate; HS-20 (single print, 6%-of-range close). f=0.30. · news |
| 1347 | Hua Hong Semiconductor | 66.55 | WATCH | 66.55 | 49.45 | 73.72 (+10.8%) | 90.44 (+35.9%) | 37.93 (-43.0%) | Hua Hong printed a second buy after a 9.5% fall, but it is priced far above its earnings-power value and fails the quality screen, which blocks new entries even though adjusted conviction just reaches the 65 floor. Quality gate; 11%-of-range close. f=0.30. · news |
| 7709 | XL2CSOPHYNIX | 17.20 | WATCH | 17.20 | 7.88 | 21.15 (+23.0%) | 30.38 (+76.6%) | 9.80 (-43.0%) | The 2x SK Hynix ETF flipped back to a buy after giving up all of its prior-day bounce, but the signal is flip-flopping, the close sat near the low, and the model stop 54% below the price would put about 7% of the book at risk; SK Hynix reports Q3 around 10-27. HS-20; HS-21 (64% below EMA200); HS-13. f=0.30. · news |
| 2318 | Aac Technologies Holdings | 48.48 | WATCH | 48.48 | 45.69 | 49.30 (+1.7%) | 51.21 (+5.6%) | 33.67 (-30.5%) | This buy print is on the wrong instrument: ticker 2318 is Ping An Insurance, not the mandate's AAC Technologies, and its own 12-week projection is a genuine 30% decline. Universe mis-mapping (fix input file); note B negative 12wk (unrailed, HS-38); HS-20 single print at 12% of range. f=0.30. |
| 0068 | MANYCORE TECH | 2.96 | WATCH | 2.96 | 1.35 | 3.82 (+29.1%) | 5.82 (+96.6%) | 1.69 (-42.9%) | Manycore slid another 4% for a third straight strong-buy print, but the company fails the quality screen, so the signal is not tradeable. Quality gate blocks new entries. f=0.30. |
Outcome & track record
Accuracy at the time of this record.
19 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one. See the decisions →
-0.903 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
88 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.