Recommendations
0 to acquire · 0 to dispose
| Ticker | Name | Close | Action | Action Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. | Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. | 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | Rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| — | AI - HK Semiconductors | — | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | The book stays fully in cash: CATL, the lead buy candidate, missed Q3 estimates and fell 11.4% to a 15-month low, closing near the day's low, so its buy signal is not yet confirmed; the other buy prints fail the quality screen, the conviction floor, or the per-trade risk budget. Book HK100% cash, deliberately (HS-34b), review EOD 10-23. Step 8a skipped (batch). |
| 3750 | CATL | 364.80 | NO ACTION | 364.80 | 274.96 | 396.61 (+8.7%) | 470.82 (+29.1%) | 207.94 (-43.0%) | CATL screens undervalued with quality and printed a second strong oversold-reversal buy, but today was the Q3-miss reaction session (profit and revenue below forecasts, 15-month low) and it closed at the bottom of the day's range, 36% below its 200-day average. Optional veto, graded. News override; HS-20 (10%-of-range close); HS-21 (below EMA200; T12 railed); HS-13 ( slot = 3.07% book risk; budget). Re-arm from 10-22: bullish print adj>=65 + top-25% close on >=1.5x vol or a further print closing above prior close; size to 2% risk at live Entry_Price. f=0.30. · news |
| 0068 | MANYCORE TECH | 3.09 | WATCH | 3.09 | 1.34 | 4.00 (+29.4%) | 6.12 (+98.1%) | 1.76 (-43.0%) | Manycore fell another 13% to close near its low after last session's 25% collapse; the company fails the quality screen, so the strong-buy print is not tradeable. Quality gate blocks new entries. f=0.30. |
| 7747 | XL2CSOPSMSN | 51.60 | WATCH | 51.60 | 30.28 | 56.13 (+8.8%) | 66.70 (+29.3%) | 29.41 (-43.0%) | The 2x Samsung ETF flipped to a buy after a 12.8% rebound with Asian chipmakers, but it is a first print that closed mid-range, 37% below its 200-day average, with a model stop 41% below the price. HS-20 (55%-of-range close, single print); HS-21; HS-13 (standard slot ~5.6% book risk; budget); chase after +12.8%. f=0.30. · news |
| 1347 | Hua Hong Semiconductor | 73.50 | WATCH | 73.50 | 60.95 | 79.34 (+7.9%) | 92.95 (+26.5%) | 41.89 (-43.0%) | Hua Hong printed a first oversold-bounce buy, but it is priced far above its earnings-power value and fails the quality screen, which takes adjusted conviction below the 65 floor. Quality gate blocks new entries; close at 20% of range on 0.9x volume. f=0.30. |
| 0522 | ASMPT | 134.40 | WATCH | 134.40 | 112.99 | 140.43 (+4.5%) | 154.51 (+15.0%) | 79.51 (-40.8%) | ASMPT printed a first oversold-bounce buy, but valuation is stretched, the quality screen fails, and adjusted conviction falls below the 65 floor; its own Q3 is ~10-27 and the 12-week projection is genuinely negative. Quality gate; floor. f=0.30. |
Outcome & track record
Accuracy at the time of this record.
19 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one. See the decisions →
-0.903 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
88 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.