Recommendations
0 to acquire · 0 to dispose
| Ticker | Name | Close | Action | Action Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. | Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. | 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | Rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| — | AI - HK Semiconductors | — | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | The book stays fully in cash: the declined bullish rows fell 6-25% on the first session after the long weekend, and the one quality buy signal (CATL) is a single unconfirmed print, far below its 200-day average, with its own Q3 results 1-2 sessions out. Book HK100% cash, deliberately (HS-34b), review EOD 10-23. 10-19 snapshot is a holiday duplicate. Step 8a skipped (batch). |
| 3750 | CATL | 411.80 | NO ACTION | 411.80 | 331.33 | 432.85 (+5.1%) | 481.98 (+17.0%) | 234.73 (-43.0%) | CATL flipped to a strong oversold-reversal buy and screens undervalued with quality, but it is a single print that closed in the lower third of the day's range, 28% below its 200-day average, with its own Q3 results due ~10-22. Optional veto, graded. HS-20 (34%-of-range close), HS-21 (below EMA200; T12 railed), catalyst <=2 sessions, HS-13 ( slot = 2.47% book risk; budget size). Re-arm: bullish print after Q3 is priced + top-25% close on >=1.5x vol or 2nd print; size to 2% risk at live Entry_Price. f=0.30. · news |
| 0068 | MANYCORE TECH | 3.56 | WATCH | 3.56 | 1.81 | 4.42 (+24.2%) | 6.44 (+80.9%) | 2.03 (-43.0%) | Manycore collapsed 25% on 15x volume to close near its low, likely on post-IPO lock-up supply (unconfirmed), and the loss-making company fails the quality screen, so the strong-buy print is not tradeable. Quality gate blocks new entries; capitulation bar. f=0.30. · news |
| 7709 | XL2CSOPHYNIX | 17.23 | WATCH | 17.23 | 7.20 | 21.59 (+25.3%) | 31.77 (+84.4%) | 9.82 (-43.0%) | The 2x SK Hynix ETF fell another 10% and its buy signal is decaying (cv90 to 75), still 64% below its 200-day average with a model stop 58% below the price. HS-21 (below EMA200), HS-13 (~7.8% book risk), HS-20 (bottom-of-range close). SK Hynix Q3 ~10-27. f=0.30. |
Outcome & track record
Accuracy at the time of this record.
19 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one. See the decisions →
-0.903 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
88 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.