Recommendations
0 to acquire · 0 to dispose
| Ticker | Name | Close | Action | Action Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. | Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. | 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | Rationale |
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| — | AI - HK Semiconductors | — | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | The book stays fully in cash after a weak bounce from the 10-15 chip capitulation: the only buy signals are a 2x SK Hynix ETF with a 59% stop that closed near its low, and a loss-making name that fails the quality screen. Book HK100% cash into the Chung Yeung long weekend and China Q3 GDP (10-20). 0992 re-arm: BUY >= 65 on 2 sessions + close > 33.42. Step 8a skipped (batch). |
| 7709 | XL2CSOPHYNIX | 19.19 | WATCH | 19.19 | 7.83 | 23.88 (+24.4%) | 34.83 (+81.5%) | 10.94 (-43.0%) | The 2x SK Hynix ETF printed a second strong oversold-reversal buy, but it faded to close near the day's low, still 61% below its 200-day average, while the memory-chip selloff (CXMT competition, rate fears) has not reversed, and the model stop sits 59% below the price. HS-12/HS-21 (T12 clamp, below EMA200), HS-13 (slot risk ~7.5% of book vs 2%), HS-20 (bottom-of-range close), L8 fill crosses a 3-day weekend into China GDP. f=0.30. Re-arm 1/4 met. · news |
| 0068 | MANYCORE TECH | 4.77 | WATCH | 4.77 | 3.47 | 5.36 (+12.4%) | 6.75 (+41.5%) | 2.72 (-43.0%) | Manycore prints a third oversold-reversal buy near its 52-week low, but it fails the quality screen and its own 12-week projection (2.72) is 43% below the price. Quality gate + HS-12; below every EMA, close in the bottom quarter of the range. f=0.30. |
Outcome & track record
Accuracy at the time of this record.
19 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one. See the decisions →
-0.903 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
88 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.