Recommendations
0 to acquire · 1 to dispose
| Ticker | Name | Close | Action | Action Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. | Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. | 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | Rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0148 | KINGBOARD HLDG | 53.95 | SELL ALL | 53.95 | 52.41 | n/a | n/a | 52.75 (-2.2%) | Kingboard has printed no-trade with zero conviction for two sessions in a row since the entry, has closed below its 50-day average, and its own 12-week projection now sits below the price. The book exits the starter position at the next open rather than wait for the stop. Pre-committed 10-09 branch (2nd cv0 + close < EMA50 + T12 <= close -> full exit); HS-4 satisfied; PROFIT_ARMED print is spurious on a -5.3% position and not used; backstop: settled close < 52.41 (HS-3); reprice if the open gaps > ~1.5%. · news |
| PORTFOLIO | AI - HK Semiconductors | — | WATCH | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | The book exits its only position, Kingboard, at the next open after two straight no-trade sessions and a dead 12-week view, and moves fully to cash. No buy clears the bar: Lenovo's fresh buy signal (cv62, 58 after valuation) is below the 65 floor and a single print, and every other name prints AVOID or NO TRADE. Book HK (-0.19%). Step 8a skipped (batch). |
Outcome & track record
Accuracy at the time of this record.
18 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one. See the decisions →
-0.903 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
88 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.