Recommendations
0 to acquire · 0 to dispose
| Ticker | Name | Close | Action | Action Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. | Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. | 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | Rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| — | hksemicon book | — | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | Sunny Optical's fresh breakout buy signal is set aside because the model's own 12-week view sits below the trigger price, and every other name prints a bearish label; the book stays about 87% cash, holding CATL on its stop. |
| 3750 | CATL | 378.00 | HOLD | 362.40 | 359.01 | 384.35 (+6.1%) | 399.15 (+10.1%) | n/a | CATL rose 2.2% to 378.00, 5% above its near-breakeven stop and 4.3% in profit; fairly valued with a quality pass, and the bearish label is the engine's placeholder rather than an exit signal. Ops: PROFIT_ARMED via railed T12 (HS-38), no fire tick ((b) -4). No new high since 402.80, so no ratchet (HS-31); stop 359.01 held. Decisive close <359.01 -> full exit next open (HS-3). · news |
| 2382 | Sunny Optical Technology | 66.65 | NO ACTION | 67.74 | 56.58 | 74.44 (+9.9%) | 90.07 (+33.0%) | 66.30 (-2.1%) | Sunny Optical broke out on 1.7x volume and is undervalued with a quality pass, but the model's own 12-week projection (66.30) sits below the 67.74 buy-stop, and US CPI lands inside the order's life. Ops: HS-12 veto (genuine 12wk, not railed per HS-38); HS-45 (CPI 11-11); HS-43 stop 3.94 ATR blowout. Re-arm: bullish actionable at live Entry with 12wk >= Entry, adj >= 65, no binary in queue life; gtc_stop sized to 2% book risk. Ledgered optional for counterfactual grading (HS-44). · news |
Outcome & track record
Accuracy at the time of this record.
20 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one. See the decisions →
-0.903 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
88 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.