RallySell_BearTrend
Bear trend rally sell — fade rally in confirmed bearish structure
Setup — what must already be true
- EMA stack (5/10/20/50 alignment) is one of Bearish Full / Bearish Partial
- Price vs EMAs is one of Below Both / Between
- RSI regime is one of Healthy / Overbought / Extreme Overbought
- Liquidity gate is Pass
Trigger — what fires the signal
- > 0
- Momentum trajectory (RSI + MACD direction) is one of Both Deteriorating / Mixed
- MACD histogram is one of Weakening Bull / Bearish
Trade box & conviction bar
- Entry: market
- Stop: rally high (0.5 ATR)
- Target: fixed
- Time stop: 7 bars
- Conviction: BUY-grade at ≥ 55, STRONG at ≥ 75
📰 From the newsletter
- Issue #7-4 · How Bumpy Is the Ride? Volatility & Volume — Volatility and volume tools turn charts into risk management instruments by helping investors set stops, size positions, and judge whether price is stretched.
Live track record for this signal
- US Main (sell): 37% hit the 1-week target (n=27)
- AI · US Tech (sell): 60% hit the 1-week target (n=7)
- AI · US Semiconductors (sell): 25% hit the 1-week target (n=8)
- AI · Berkshire Mirror (sell): 70% hit the 1-week target (n=24)
- Hong Kong Main (sell): 67% hit the 1-week target (n=40)
- AI · HK Financials (sell): 100% hit the 1-week target (n=1, building sample)
- Singapore Main (sell): 80% hit the 1-week target (n=10)
- AI · SG REITs (sell): 75% hit the 1-week target (n=8)
- AI · SG Blue Chips (sell): 100% hit the 1-week target (n=2, building sample)
- Sector ETFs (sell): 0% hit the 1-week target (n=2, building sample)
See it live right now
- 3690 · MEITUAN-W in Hong Kong Main — STRONG SELL - REDUCE at conviction 77 (chart with entry/stop/targets drawn)
- 0148 · KINGBOARD HLDG in AI · HK Semiconductors — AVOID at conviction 72 (chart with entry/stop/targets drawn)
- 6869 · YOFC in AI · HK Semiconductors — AVOID at conviction 67 (chart with entry/stop/targets drawn)
- 0148 · KINGBOARD HLDG in Hong Kong Main — AVOID at conviction 65 (chart with entry/stop/targets drawn)
- 1211 · BYD in Hong Kong Main — AVOID at conviction 65 (chart with entry/stop/targets drawn)
- GLD · SPDR Gold Shares ETF in Sector ETFs — AVOID at conviction 65 (chart with entry/stop/targets drawn)