Recommendations
0 to acquire · 1 to dispose
| Ticker | Name | Close | Action | Action Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. | Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. | 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | Rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PORTFOLIO | hksemicon book | — | WATCH | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | The semiconductor list still prints no buy signal as the two-day rebound stalled; CATL flipped to a sell signal, so the book trims half of it and moves to about 93% cash. |
| 3750 | CATL | 374.20 | SELL 50% | 374.20 | 359.01 | 381.69 (+2.0%) | 399.15 (+6.7%) | n/a | CATL's signal flipped to a sell after it reversed from the open high to close down 3.4% at 374.20; it is fairly valued and still 3% in profit, so the book banks half and keeps the rest on its 359.01 stop. Ops: STRONG SELL - REDUCE cv36 single print, engine Portion 96% cut to 50% (sub-65 conviction, stop unbroken, railed T12 - HS-38). Residual: exit next open on a close <359.01 (HS-3) OR a 2nd consecutive REDUCE print (HS-33). Market at open, no reprice clause (HS-68). · news |
| 2382 | Sunny Optical Technology | 64.30 | WATCH | 64.30 | 63.48 | 65.94 (+2.6%) | 69.77 (+8.5%) | 64.37 (+0.1%) | Sunny Optical is undervalued and quality-passing, but its signal is still watch-only and sits in this book's weakest buy family, so there is no buy. Ops: adj 55 < 65 (bias -7 FailedBreakdown_Up_20D|buy). Re-arm: bullish actionable at the live Entry, adj >= 65, 12wk >= Entry, outside the 11-13 SMIC/AMAT binary. · news |
Outcome & track record
Accuracy at the time of this record.
20 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one. See the decisions →
-0.903 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
88 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.