Recommendations
0 to acquire · 0 to dispose
| Ticker | Name | Close | Action | Action Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. | Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. | 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | Rationale |
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| — | hksemicon book | — | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | The only buy signals tonight (ASMPT STRONG BUY and Manycore BUY) fail the quality screen, and ASMPT fell 10% into the print with a stop over 30% away. The rest of the book prints bearish labels. The book holds CATL (+8.9%) and about 86% cash. |
| 3750 | CATL | 394.60 | HOLD | 362.40 | 359.01 | 395.97 (+9.3%) | 399.15 (+10.1%) | n/a | CATL rose 4.7% on a down day for the sector and is +8.9% from its fill; it is fairly valued with a quality pass, and the bearish label is the engine's up-day placeholder, not an exit signal. Stop raised to about breakeven to lock the gain. Ops: PROFIT_ARMED via lower-railed T12 (HS-38), no fire tick ((b) -16 < 20, (c) railed) -> mandatory trail-raise: chandelier 402.80 - 2x21.90 = 359.01 (was 311.32). Decisive close <359.01 -> full exit next open (HS-3); genuine neg 12wk + bearish print -> trim 50% (HS-8/L2). · news |
Outcome & track record
Accuracy at the time of this record.
20 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one. See the decisions →
-0.903 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
88 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.