Recommendations
1 to acquire · 0 to dispose
| Ticker | Name | Close | Action | Action Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. | Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. | 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | Rationale |
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| PORTFOLIO | hksemicon book | — | WATCH | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | The book ends a nine-session cash run with one buy: CATL confirmed its oversold-bounce buy for a second session and held green while ten of twelve names fell. Everything else is quality-gated, below the floor, or on a bearish label. About 87% stays in cash after the fill. |
| 3750 | CATL | 361.00 | BUY | 361.00 | 311.32 | 372.45 (+3.2%) | 399.15 (+10.6%) | 205.77 (-43.0%) | CATL printed a second consecutive oversold-bounce buy and closed up on a broad down day, meeting the book's written re-arm. It is fairly valued and passes the quality screen. Ops: market at 11-04 open, reprice/skip if gap >1.5% (>=366.40, midterms priced same open); 67.43% x 2,282,370 x 20% -> (lot 100), risk HK = 1.74% (HS-13); R:R 0.77 and L1 discount noted; 12wk railed (HS-38). · news |
| 0981 | SMIC | 42.62 | WATCH | 42.62 | 33.62 | 44.71 (+4.9%) | 49.91 (+17.1%) | 24.29 (-43.0%) | SMIC's buy print is below the conviction floor after the valuation haircut, and it fails the quality screen. Ops: HS-52 single vintage decision; re-arm on Quality_Pass flip. |
| 1347 | Hua Hong Semiconductor | 59.35 | WATCH | 59.35 | 43.38 | 64.25 (+8.3%) | 75.67 (+27.5%) | 33.83 (-43.0%) | Hua Hong's buy print is below the floor after the valuation haircut, fails the quality screen, and Q3 results land around 11-05. Ops: HS-52, HS-45. |
Outcome & track record
Accuracy at the time of this record.
19 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one. See the decisions →
-0.903 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
88 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.