Recommendations
1 to acquire · 1 to dispose
| Ticker | Name | Close | Action | Action Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. | Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. | 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | Rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0992 | Lenovo Group Limited | 32.32 | SELL ALL | 32.32 | 33.42⚠ | 34.53 (+6.8%) | 39.70 (+22.8%) | 43.20 (+33.7%) | Selling all of Lenovo: it fell 8.1% to 32.32 on heavy volume and settled below the book's pre-committed 33.42 trailing stop, so the exit is risk discipline even though the model still prints a weak-bullish HOLD and fair value is neutral. HS-3 pure trail exit (pre-commit #1); banks +HK (+3.4%) vs 31.25 cost; reprice if the open gaps >1.5%; HS-EOQ-1 tiered alternative shadow-only (would sell 21,000). Re-arm: BUY >=65 on 2 sessions with close > 33.42. · news |
| 0148 | KINGBOARD HLDG | 57.70 | BUY — QUEUED @57.23 | 57.23 | 52.41 | 60.04 (+4.9%) | 66.58 (+16.3%) | 61.43 (+7.3%) | Queuing a half-size Kingboard buy at the model's 57.23 pullback entry: a fresh STRONG BUY PullbackBuy_VWAP cv77 with fair value roughly in line (MoS -0.09, quality pass) and a positive 12-week view, but the day closed near its low after a 62.35 high, so we only buy on a further dip. HS-20 half-pass (vol 3.5x, close bottom 10% of range) -> size x0.5; (500-sh lot assumed) = HK; risk to 52.41 stop HK (0.53%); withdraw if label drops or cv<65. · news |
| PORTFOLIO | AI - HK Semiconductors | — | WATCH | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | Lenovo broke its trailing stop on an 8% semis sell-off day, so the book exits the full position at the next open and moves to cash; a small half-size limit order is queued on Kingboard's fresh pullback buy signal. ASMPT is rejected (quality gate, valuation, weak cell) and 2318 stays vetoed (12-week view 21% below entry). Book HK (-4.94%). Step 8a skipped (batch). |
Outcome & track record
Accuracy at the time of this record.
16 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one. See the decisions →
-0.903 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
88 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.