Recommendations
0 to acquire · 0 to dispose
| Ticker | Name | Close | Action | Action Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. | Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. | 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | Rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0992 | Lenovo Group Limited | 34.32 | HOLD | — | 33.42 | 35.57 | 38.50 | 48.91 | Holding Lenovo on its 33.42 stop. The model cooled from an add signal (cv70) to HOLD (cv54) on a flat session (34.32, low 33.74), but price stays above all its moving averages and fair value is neutral (MoS -0.92). Disarmed (Gain_ATR 1.83); model 32.14 entry stop not adopted (HS-3a/HS-30); buffer 0.54 ATR. Exit 100% on a settled close < 33.42 (HS-3; HS-EOQ-1 tiered exit shadow-only); bearish-family print -> trim market; re-arm (close >= ~36.28) + fire tick -> 30%/50%; no pre-trim through Connect blackout/NFP. · news |
| — | AI - HK Semiconductors | — | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | No trades tonight. Lenovo eased 0.64% to 34.32 and its add signal cooled to HOLD, but it holds above the 33.42 stop. CATL's oversold-reversal buy and ASMPT's Micron-driven breakout both carry negative 12-week projections and are vetoed (falling knife; post-earnings gap chase, quality fail). Book HK (-0.39%); cash HKStep 8a skipped (batch). |
Outcome & track record
Accuracy at the time of this record.
16 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one. See the decisions →
-0.903 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
88 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.