Recommendations
1 to acquire · 0 to dispose
| Ticker | Name | Close | Action | Action Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. | Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. | 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | Rationale |
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| 1347 | Hua Hong Semiconductor | 178.00 | BUY | 178.00 | 164.30 | 190.41 (+7.0%) | 219.35 (+23.2%) | 253.65 (+42.5%) | Fresh ADR-0014 inception acquire from HK seed; sole floor-clearer today. Bullish FailedBreakdown_Up_20D basing after a +293% YTD run, now Buy_Rank #1, conv 67>=65, entry at close (EntD 0.0, not extended); news confirms (Q1 beat +12.3%, raised Q2 guide US-700M, record utilization on AI/datacenter demand) - the cool-off is the pullback the setup buys. Re-affirmed vs 07-04 (that proposal held while 0522/0981 rolled below floor). Valuation blind (val_adj 0), calib degenerate (f=0.30). L1 caveat: FailedBreakdown is a weak cell -> measured 20% size, 80% dry into FOMC-minutes 07-08/CPI 07-14. Action price = anchor 07-06 close ref; reprice if 07-07 open gaps >1.5%. · news |
Outcome & track record
Accuracy at the time of this record.
3 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one. See the decisions →
0.000 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
21 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.