Recommendations
0 to acquire · 0 to dispose
| Ticker | Name | Close | Action | Action Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. | Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. | 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | Rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0992 | Lenovo Group Limited | 37.16 | HOLD | — | 33.42 | 38.28 | 40.90 | 52.95 | Holding Lenovo and raising its stop to 33.42: a +3.2% close on the high puts the position 3.2 ATR in profit (PROFIT_ARMED), but no deterioration tick fired, so ADR-0012 calls for a tighter trail, not a trim. Ticks: (a) none, (b) conv = -15 (near-miss, <20), (c) T12 52.95 alive, (d) no NO TRADE. Trail = scan armed stop close-2.0xATR (HS-31: no new high, so no chandelier off 37.88). Exit 100% on settled close < 33.42; bearish-family print -> trim market; any fire tick -> 30%/50% trim; no adds while >60% of book. · news |
| — | AI - HK Semiconductors | — | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | No trades tonight: Lenovo rallied 3.2% into profit-armed territory with no sign of deterioration, so its stop is raised to 33.42 rather than trimmed. YOFC falls below the floor and fails the quality screen; CATL turned into a 52-week breakdown, vindicating last week's veto. Book HK (+1.55%); cash HKStep 8a skipped (batch). |
Outcome & track record
Accuracy at the time of this record.
16 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one. See the decisions →
-0.903 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
88 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.