Recommendations
0 to acquire · 0 to dispose
| Ticker | Name | Close | Action | Action Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. | Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. | 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | Rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| — | XL2CSOPHYNIX | — | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | The 2x SK Hynix ETF flashed an oversold-reversal buy after collapsing 41% in three sessions (−24% today on TSMC/CPI day), but it was a high-conviction AVOID the session before and the stop sits 66% below the price, so this is a falling knife, not a defined-risk entry. STRONG BUY/90 single print after AVOID/86 (HT-43 hard veto); R:R 1.39 < 1.5 and stop 2.76 ATR with ATR 24% of price (HT-53 geometry fail); T12 10.65 = clamp floor (HT-27, n/a); 3-day HK weekend + SK Hynix Q3 ~10-27 ahead. Optional row so the grader prices the withhold. |
| — | CHINA LIT | — | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | China Literature's buy signal held for a third day but is fading (conviction, the company still fails our quality screen (losses, negative free cash flow) and trades far above our value anchor, so we keep passing. BUY/68 -> adj 58 (val_adj -10, MoS_FV -7.15) below the 65 floor; quality gate blocks new entry (F-Score 4); stop 21.72 only 0.39 ATR below close (HT-53 stop-width fail). Optional row so the grader prices the withhold. |
| — | hktech | — | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | No trades today: HK tech breadth re-tightened ( names AVOID, semis sold off on TSMC/CPI day), the 2x SK Hynix ETF's reversal buy came straight off a crash and a high-conviction AVOID, and China Literature still fails the quality screen, so the book stays fully in cash. 0 ACQUIRE / 0 DISPOSE / 0 ANTICIPATE. Book HK (+5.85% vs seed), 100% cash. |
Outcome & track record
Accuracy at the time of this record.
6 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one. See the decisions →
2.122 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
89 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.