HK Tech — End-of-Day record | algo2alpha

Total-Return Index 100.0 0.0% since inception Performance ›

Today's recommendations

1 to acquire · 0 to dispose

Ticker	Name	Close	Action	Action Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice.	Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice.	1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close.	4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close.	12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close.	Rationale
9618	JD-SW	124.10	BUY — QUEUED @123.73	123.73	112.52	130.46 (+5.4%)	146.15 (+18.1%)	136.88 (+10.6%)	JD has broken out to a fresh 20-day high on nearly three times its recent volume, closing at 124.10 and reclaiming its 200-day average for the first time in a month - the strongest signal this book has produced since inception, at conviction 84 against a 65 floor. Crucially the model now projects the shares higher on both horizons (+18% over four weeks, +11% over twelve) while the shares trade near our estimate of intrinsic value on a passing quality screen, and the suggested stop sits a wide 9% below entry - resolving the one objection that kept us out for four straight sessions, when the stop was too tight to survive normal daily noise. Risking 11.21 a share to make 22.42 is a 2-to-1 proposition, and the price has not run away from the entry. We buy on a stop order so that a weak open simply never fills. Learnings applied: the 07-27 re-arm trigger (fresh BUY cv>=65 + forward view intact + stop >= ~0.5 ATR) fired on every clause - stop is now 3.18 ATR vs 0.31 yesterday. HT-4 forward-view screen PASSES for the first time since inception (T4 +17.8%, T12 +10.3% vs close). HT-3 does not apply - this is the BreakoutUp exit family with genuine 2.00 R:R, not the pullback family's 0.92 config artifact. L1 breakout discount and the BreakoutUp_20D\|buy cell being 0-for-1 (that one sample is THIS name's 07-21 failure: cv69 -> NO TRADE cv0 in one session, expired unfilled) are expressed as a 0.5x discretionary size haircut, NOT a reject - today's print is stronger on every axis that failed then (cv84 vs 69, STRONG BUY vs BUY, portion 74.69 vs 28.39, close 124.10 clears the 07-21 high 123.40, volume 14.2M vs 5.0M). L6 does not bite - no earnings inside the 10-day horizon. L8: executes at the 07-29 open; reprice if it gaps >~1.5%. Sizing: 74.69% x 2,000,000 x 20% = 298,760 full slot; size_mod 1.0x (UNDERVALUED+Quality_Pass would permit 1.25x but MoS is knife-edge +0.0067 on a 4-day-stale price, ~-0.04 marked to today's close, so upsize declined); 0.5x haircut -> 149,380 -> /123.73 = 1,207 -> ( x 50) = HK7.4% of book. Risk to stop HK = 0.67% of book. max_position_pct and both non-binding. No DCF annotation: DCF_per_share 185.65 sits well above the 136.88 12wk target. Event Horizon names no event for 9618; FOMC 07-29 / Politburo 07-30 / PMI 07-31 are indirect and argue for the half-size, not a skip. Data caution: a cached Yahoo quote snippet showed 115.10 for 07-27 vs the scan's settled 119.20 - L4 makes the settled scan close authoritative, and the buy-stop is self-protecting if the tape is materially lower. WITHDRAW if conviction drops below 65 before fill, or on expiry 2026-07-31. · news
0148	KINGBOARD HLDG	42.22	WATCH	42.22	33.16	48.88 (+15.8%)	64.43 (+52.6%)	24.07 (-43.0%)	Kingboard triggered a buy signal today, but it is a bounce in a collapse rather than a turn: the shares have fallen 26% in six sessions to 42.22 and trade far below their 20-, 50- and 100-day averages, and the company fails our quality screen on profitability and cash flow while still pricing in growth. The model's own twelve-week projection of 24.07 is 43% BELOW today's price - it is recommending a purchase it simultaneously forecasts will nearly halve. We do not buy falling knives on an oversold reading alone. Learnings applied: quality gate hard-blocks new entries on Quality_Pass=False (dispositive here - the book holds nothing, so no ADD exemption applies); HT-4 forward-view screen fails badly on the 12wk leg; note B (the HK OversoldBounce/ReversalUp buy pool with negative 12wk is the falling-knife shape this book is written to refuse). Momentum 29 / Volatility 21 pillars are weak. Fourth axis: the printed 4wk target 64.43 (+52.6%) sits far outside the model's own Est_High of 47.73 - an artifact, not an objective (logged as systemic finding 2). adj conviction 66 - 1 = 65, exactly at the floor, and rejected regardless. RE-ARM: Quality_Pass=True AND Target_12Week above close AND price back above EMA50. · news
2318	AAC TECH	57.10	WATCH	—	—	n/a	n/a	51.94	The buy signal we declined for four consecutive sessions has now disappeared entirely - AAC prints no trade at zero conviction. Our reason for passing was that the model forecast the shares lower on both the four- and twelve-week horizons even as it flagged a buy; that contradiction has resolved by the signal dissolving rather than by the forecasts improving. The book never paid 56.65 for a setup that never became sound. Learnings applied: HT-4 (forward view screened before the conviction floor) called this correctly four times running; L1 caution on extended pullback entries. Conviction trail ->. Dropped as an active candidate. RE-ARM: cv>=65 AND Target_4w/Target_12Week both above close AND entry not extended. · news
PORTFOLIO	AI - HK Tech	—	WATCH	—	—	n/a	n/a	n/a	The book takes its first position since inception: a half-size stake in JD.com, which today became the first name to satisfy every one of our entry conditions at once - a strong breakout signal, projected gains over both the four- and twelve-week horizons, a sensible valuation on a passing quality screen, and a stop wide enough to survive ordinary volatility. We commit HKabout 7% of the portfolio, and keep the remaining HKin reserve. That restraint is deliberate: eight other names in the book are flagged as active breakdowns with rising conviction, and a Federal Reserve decision, three chip-sector earnings reports and a Chinese policy meeting all land within four sessions. One breakout does not make a bull market. Ends the eleven-session 100%-cash streak. Sell pool empty by construction (zero holdings). Second floor-clearer 0148 hard-blocked by the quality gate. Nothing pending to reconcile coming in; monitor clean (CASH no_stop only).

Outcome & track record

How accurate the calls have been.

5 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one. See the decisions →

-0.450 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.

22 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.

Portfolio & signals

Every name we scanned, and where it stands.

Ticker	Name	Close	Signal The chart pattern the engine detected on this name. Hover a signal for its one-line definition; click it for the full setup/trigger rules, the trade box it produces, and the newsletter issue that teaches the underlying concept.	Action	Conv	1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close.	4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close.	12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close.
7747	XL2CSOPSMSN	61.12	BreakdownDown_20D	AVOID	85	32.23 (-47.3%)	-33.19 (-154.3%)	34.84 (-43.0%)
9618	JD-SW	124.10	BreakoutUp_20D	STRONG BUY	84	130.46 (+5.1%)	146.15 (+17.8%)	136.88 (+10.3%)
7709	XL2CSOPHYNIX	38.02	BreakdownDown_20D	AVOID	81	21.19 (-44.3%)	-31.31 (-182.4%)	21.67 (-43.0%)
0100	MINIMAX-W	197.20	BreakdownDown_52W	AVOID	71	117.20 (-40.6%)	-36.27 (-118.4%)	112.40 (-43.0%)
0148	KINGBOARD HLDG	42.22	OversoldBounce_Up	BUY	66	48.88 (+15.8%)	64.43 (+52.6%)	24.07 (-43.0%)
3750	CATL	603.50	RallySell_BearTrend	AVOID	62	595.40 (-1.3%)	576.50 (-4.5%)	470.98 (-22.0%)
0700	TENCENT	447.20	FailedBreakout_Down_20D	AVOID	61	n/a	n/a	393.52 (-12.0%)
0772	CHINA LIT	18.85	FailedBreakout_Down_20D	AVOID	61	n/a	n/a	10.74 (-43.0%)
0981	SMIC	69.10	FailedBreakout_Down_20D	AVOID	52	n/a	n/a	57.77 (-16.4%)
2513	KNOWLEDGE ATLAS	1042.00	RallySell_BearTrend	AVOID	52	992.80 (-4.7%)	878.00 (-15.7%)	666.22 (-36.1%)
0522	ASMPT	139.50	BreakdownDown_20D	AVOID	48	124.18 (-11.0%)	58.95 (-57.7%)	98.07 (-29.7%)
2382	Sunny Optical Technology	58.05	FailedBreakout_Down_20D	AVOID	45	n/a	n/a	37.69 (-35.1%)
1024	KUAISHOU-W	42.34	FailedBreakout_Down_20D	AVOID	36	n/a	n/a	32.52 (-23.2%)
6869	YOFC	109.30	BreakdownDown_20D	AVOID	28	81.46 (-25.5%)	8.42 (-92.3%)	62.30 (-43.0%)
0068	MANYCORE TECH	7.82	NoTrade	NO TRADE	0	n/a	n/a	4.46 (-43.0%)
0992	Lenovo Group Limited	23.42	NoTrade	NO TRADE	0	n/a	n/a	33.04 (+41.1%)
1211	BYD	89.80	NoTrade	NO TRADE	0	n/a	n/a	83.92 (-6.5%)
1347	Hua Hong Semiconductor	138.30	NoTrade	NO TRADE	0	n/a	n/a	133.08 (-3.8%)
1810	XIAOMI CORP-W	29.26	NoTrade	NO TRADE	0	n/a	n/a	28.82 (-1.5%)
2318	Aac Technologies Holdings	57.10	NoTrade	NO TRADE	0	n/a	n/a	51.94 (-9.0%)
9988	BABA-SW	112.00	NoTrade	NO TRADE	0	n/a	n/a	96.83 (-13.5%)

HK Tech — End-of-Day Verdict

1 to acquire · 0 to dispose

How accurate the calls have been.

Every name we scanned, and where it stands.

Earlier end-of-day records.