Recommendations
1 to acquire · 0 to dispose
| Ticker | Name | Close | Action | Action Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. | Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. | 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | Rationale |
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| 2382 | Sunny Optical Technology (Group) | 71.90 | BUY | 71.65 | 63.93 | 78.78 (+10.0%) | 95.41 (+33.2%) | 82.75 (+15.5%) | Sunny Optical has broken out of its 20-day range and held conviction in the low-80s for two straight sessions, and the intrinsic work says we are not paying up for it: UNDERVALUED against a DCF of 83.30 with a 71.90 close, and even the twelve-week projection of 82.75 stops just short of that anchor. This book has been watching the name without owning it for two sessions; the breakout is now confirmed and we buy it, taking the book from 85% cash to 70%. OPERATIONAL: adj 85 (83 raw +2 valuation, scorecard bias 0 - this book has ZERO actionable cells, so the report-only BreakoutUp_20D|buy hit_1w.25 over n=4 is stated but not applied). Size modulator held at 1.0x not the 1.25x UNDERVALUED+Quality_Pass permits, on RSI 74.3 and the absent scorecard evidence base. Model Stop_Price 59.77 (-16.6%) REJECTED under HK-12; working stop is the 2.0x ATR chandelier at 63.93, risk HKESTIMATE WARNING: this book's scan emits no Est_* columns so the 1wk figure is the Step 7 fallback (78.78, +9.9%) and is NOT credible - the parent hk book's estimator prints Est_1W 72.73 (+0.7%) and Est_4W 74.50 (+3.2%) on the identical row; believe the parent. Target_Price 95.41 is the risk objective, not a forecast. HORIZON: Broadcom Q3 on 09-03 (two-sided +/-6%) and the Apple keynote on 09-10 (+/-5%) both sit inside this card's 4-week window - 2382 supplies handset camera modules. L7 CROSS-BOOK: hk (5,000 @72.21 buy-stop) and hksemicon (3,800 @72.45 buy-stop) buy the same name today - / ~HKacross the family; hk is the governing parent, execute once. BLOCKING: this book's Auto-Executor last ran 2026-08-11, 15 trading days ago - the card may not execute mechanically. |
| 0992 | Lenovo Group Limited | 30.58 | HOLD | — | 29.68 | n/a | n/a | 33.07 | Lenovo is up 11.2% on cost and still trending - no sell label, no exit warning, and the twelve-week view remains constructive. We hold and simply move the risk line up under it. OPERATIONAL: Gain_ATR is 2.29, BELOW the 3.0 ADR-0012 arm threshold, so this position is NOT profit-armed and no trail-raise is mandated by the profit-take machinery - the stop is nonetheless raised 29.40 -> 29.68 to the live model level, which is the higher of the two. Note the book-wide PROFIT_ARMED inversion affecting hk/sg does not touch this row because it prints no warning at all. |
| 0772 | CHINA LIT | 21.56 | NO ACTION | 21.56 | 20.62 | n/a | 24.00 (+11.3%) | 19.64 (-8.9%) | China Literature printed a strong buy signal but we are not buying it: the company fails our quality screen outright, and the shares are priced well beyond what the cash flows support - the intrinsic work puts it deep in growth-priced-in territory. Decisively, the model's own twelve-week projection of 19.64 sits 8.9% BELOW the 21.56 close, so the engine is forecasting a lower price than today's while labelling it a buy. OPERATIONAL: hard block on Quality_Pass=False (F-Score/FCF screen); val_adj -10 at MoS_FV -6.51. Third consecutive session withheld. Ledgered optional/direction:none so the counterfactual grader prices the block. |
Outcome & track record
Accuracy at the time of this record.
11 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one. See the decisions →
0.129 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
50 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.