Recommendations
1 to acquire · 0 to dispose
| Ticker | Name | Close | Action | Action Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. | Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. | 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | Rationale |
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| 0992 | Lenovo Group Limited | 32.40 | ADD — QUEUED @31.75 | 31.75 | 30.09 | 32.31 (+1.8%) | 33.63 (+5.9%) | 46.17 (+45.4%) | Lenovo is the one name in this book where a strong uptrend, a passing quality screen and a positive forward view line up at once. A fresh pullback-to-VWAP buy signal fired at conviction 79 after three quiet sessions, on the back of a cluster of AI product announcements - the Qira assistant rolling out across devices, hybrid-AI enterprise launches, and a Workato partnership - that lifted the shares 6.1% on nearly double normal volume. The shares trade above every major moving average with RSI at a comfortable 65, fair value is neutral rather than stretched, and the company ranks 2nd of 21 on quality in the book. Because the close has already run 0.4 ATR past the model's entry, we are bidding at the model level of 31.75 rather than chasing the print at 32.40. Operational: HT-3 applies - the printed R:R of 0.92 is this book's known pullback-family config artifact, so the card was cleared on HT-4's forward-view-first screen instead (4wk 33.63 and 12wk 46.17 both above the 32.40 close, stop definable, price above EMA100/200); first hktech candidate to pass that screen in the standalone era. Stop held at the 30.09 ratchet watermark (live model stop 29.71 is lower; never walk down). Sizing 58.23% x 10,000 = on the 2,000-share board lot, size modifier 1.00x. L8: fills at the 2026-09-08 open, reprice if it gaps >1.5%; Mon 09-07 China trade balance is the reprice checkpoint. L5: f=0.30 forced, calib_1w -0.346 degenerate. L6 does not bind - product catalyst, not an earnings gap. Expires 2026-09-10 if unfilled. · news |
| 1810 | XIAOMI CORP-W | 28.44 | WATCH | 28.44 | 27.66 | n/a | 30.74 (+8.1%) | 28.42 (-0.1%) | Xiaomi screens as the book's top-ranked buy on conviction alone, but the model's own twelve-week projection sits fractionally below today's price - the shares are expected to go nowhere over the holding period, which is not a swing trade. The stock also trades 13% below its 200-day average, and the buy label has flickered on and off every other session rather than establishing itself. No fresh company news; the most recent substantive item is a memory-cost hit to profit. We stand aside for a third session, having been paid to do so twice already. Operational: HT-4 forward-view screen fails (T12 28.42 < Close 28.44); below EMA200 32.81 = falling-knife profile; signal oscillation NO TRADE/BUY69/NO TRADE/BUY84 is not stable-or-fresh; L1/HT-2 FailedBreakdown chase family has no bias support here (n=3, hit_1w 0.333). Prior withholds validated: 09-02 cv69 -> -2.2%, 09-03 -> cv0. Re-arm trigger: T12 clears Close by >5% AND close reclaims EMA200. · news |
| 0772 | CHINA LIT | 21.78 | WATCH | 21.78 | 20.38 | n/a | 24.89 (+14.3%) | 19.99 (-8.2%) | China Literature prints a high-conviction buy, but it fails the fundamental quality screen outright and the model expects the shares 8% lower in twelve weeks than they trade today. Paying up for a business that scores 3 out of 9 on financial strength and ranks 18th of 21 in the book, on a signal that has switched on and off three times this week, is not a trade worth making. Operational: Quality_Pass False HARD-BLOCKS a new entry; MoS_FV -6.39 -> val_adj -10 (adj 70 would clear the floor, the gate is what blocks); HT-4 forward-view fails, T12 19.99 vs Close 21.78 = -8.2%; F-Score 3, Quality_Rank 18/21. Re-arm trigger: Quality_Pass flips True AND T12 clears Close. |
| 6869 | YOFC | 159.40 | WATCH | 152.81 | 134.99 | n/a | 169.15 (+10.7%) | 153.72 (+0.6%) | YOFC has now been passed over four sessions running and the case has only weakened: conviction has decayed from while the share price fell from, exactly the deterioration the earlier withholds anticipated. It fails the quality screen, trades at a large premium to any defensible intrinsic value, and the model still projects it lower over twelve weeks than it trades today. Operational: conviction 58 is sub-floor BEFORE adjustment; Quality_Pass False; MoS_FV -11.55 -> val_adj -10 -> adj 48; T12 153.72 < Close 159.40. The 09-03 same-day fairvalue refetch that confirmed this block still governs. Fourth consecutive withhold (08-25, 08-31, 09-03, 09-04). |
Outcome & track record
Accuracy at the time of this record.
12 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one. See the decisions →
-0.346 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
50 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.