Recommendations
0 to acquire · 0 to dispose
| Ticker | Name | Close | Action | Action Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. | Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. | 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | Rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| — | JD-SW | — | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | JD printed a fresh breakout buy signal and screens undervalued, but it is a single print, its own 12-week view sits below today's close, and results are due within a week, so we wait. HT-7/43 single-print veto; HT-4/53 T12 105.18 < close 113.90; extended −1.09 ATR; stop 3.08 ATR (HT-45 edge); L6 earnings ~11-12; HT-19 val_adj 0 (price basis +13.4%). Re-arm: 2nd buy print + T12>=close post-results. |
| — | ASMPT | — | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | ASMPT printed an oversold-reversal strong buy, but it fails our quality screen for new entries and the model's 12-week view is far below the price, so we pass. Quality gate (Q fail, new entry); T12 clamp floor (57% of close, HT-27); stop −29.8% (HT-80); single print after 2 AVOID. |
| — | hktech | — | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | No trades today: four new buy signals appeared, but three fail our quality screen and JD's breakout is a single print with a 12-week view below the price ahead of results, so the book stays in cash. 0 ACQUIRE / 0 DISPOSE / 0 ANTICIPATE. Book HK (+5.85% vs seed), 100% cash. |
Outcome & track record
Accuracy at the time of this record.
6 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one. See the decisions →
2.122 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
89 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.