Sector ETFs — Graded decisions
Every past recommendation whose target window has elapsed, scored against what actually happened. This is how we keep ourselves honest.
How to read this
- Graded — the recommendation’s horizon has passed, so we can score it.
- Hit target — price reached the model’s target. Stopped out — it hit the protective stop first. Closed — neither; it ran to the horizon. Not filled — a queued order that never triggered.
- 1wk / 4wk — the actual price return over that window after the decision.
| Date | Ticker | Decision | Signal | Outcome | 1wk | 4wk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | MAGS | ADD @69.89 | FailedBreakdown_Up_20D | Stopped out | — | — |
| 2026-09-11 | XLE | BUY QUEUED @63.98 | PullbackBuy_VWAP | Not filled | — | — |
| 2026-09-10 | AIQ | SELL 100% @63.08 | FailedBreakdown_Up_20D | Closed | — | — |
| 2026-09-10 | QQQ | SELL 100% @708.69 | FailedBreakdown_Up_20D | Closed | — | — |
| 2026-09-10 | XLK | SELL 100% @185.22 | NoTrade | Closed | — | — |
| 2026-09-09 | SKYY | SELL 100% @158.14 | PullbackBuy_VWAP | Closed | — | — |
| 2026-09-09 | XLE | BUY QUEUED @63.54 | PullbackBuy_VWAP | Not filled | — | — |
| 2026-09-08 | XLE | BUY QUEUED @63.32 | PullbackBuy_VWAP | Not filled | — | — |
| 2026-09-04 | AIQ | BUY @64.32 | FailedBreakdown_Up_20D | Stopped out | -1.9% | — |
| 2026-09-04 | XLK | BUY @187.28 | FailedBreakdown_Up_20D | Stopped out | -1.1% | — |
| 2026-09-04 | QQQ | BUY @718.96 | FailedBreakdown_Up_20D | Stopped out | -1.4% | — |
| 2026-09-03 | MAGS | BUY QUEUED @69.82 | BreakoutUp_52W | Closed | -0.9% | — |
| 2026-09-03 | SKYY | BUY QUEUED @162.51 | PullbackBuy_VWAP | Stopped out | -3.6% | — |
| 2026-09-03 | IBB | BUY QUEUED @208.85 | PullbackBuy_VWAP | Stopped out | — | — |
| 2026-09-02 | XLV | BUY QUEUED @171.10 | PullbackBuy_VWAP | Stopped out | — | — |
| 2026-09-02 | IBB | BUY QUEUED @207.06 | PullbackBuy_VWAP | Closed | — | — |
| 2026-09-02 | XLF | BUY @57.93 | PullbackBuy_VWAP | Stopped out | -1.1% | — |
| 2026-09-01 | XLE | BUY @64.72 | BreakoutUp_20D | Hit target (1w) | -1.0% | — |
| 2026-08-28 | MAGS | BUY @ | FailedBreakdown_Up_20D | Stopped out | +2.0% | — |
| 2026-08-27 | XLE | BUY QUEUED @61.12 | PullbackBuy_VWAP | Not filled | — | — |
| 2026-08-26 | XLF | ADD QUEUED @57.79 | PullbackBuy_VWAP | Stopped out | +1.3% | — |
| 2026-08-26 | XLY | SELL 100% @117.50 stop | FailedBreakdown_Up_20D | Closed | -2.5% | — |
| 2026-08-25 | XLF | ADD QUEUED @57.72 | PullbackBuy_VWAP | Stopped out | +0.7% | — |
| 2026-08-24 | XLY | BUY @118.30 | FailedBreakdown_Up_20D | Stopped out | -0.9% | — |
| 2026-08-21 | XLV | BUY QUEUED @167.45 | PullbackBuy_VWAP | Not filled | — | — |
| 2026-08-18 | UFO | BUY QUEUED @45.64 | PullbackBuy_VWAP | Stopped out | -1.8% | — |
| 2026-08-14 | XLF | BUY QUEUED @57.20 | PullbackBuy_VWAP | Hit target (1w) | +1.2% | — |
| 2026-08-13 | XLF | BUY QUEUED @57.11 | PullbackBuy_VWAP | Not filled | — | — |
| 2026-08-12 | QTUM | BUY QUEUED @145.09 | PullbackBuy_VWAP | Not filled | — | — |
| 2026-08-11 | QTUM | BUY QUEUED @144.65 | PullbackBuy_VWAP | Not filled | — | — |
| 2026-08-10 | AIQ | ADD QUEUED @59.58 | PullbackBuy_VWAP | Not filled | — | — |
| 2026-08-07 | XBI | BUY @157.37 | FailedBreakdown_Up_20D | Stopped out | -0.3% | +4.5% |
| 2026-08-07 | AIQ | BUY QUEUED @59.64 | PullbackBuy_VWAP | Not filled | — | — |
| 2026-08-06 | IBB | BUY @192.97 | FailedBreakdown_Up_20D | Hit target (4w) | +4.0% | +10.8% |
| 2026-08-04 | XLF | BUY QUEUED @56.54 | PullbackBuy_VWAP | Not filled | — | — |
| 2026-08-03 | SPY | BUY QUEUED @746.78 | PullbackBuy_VWAP | Not filled | — | — |
| 2026-08-03 | XLF | BUY QUEUED @56.47 | PullbackBuy_VWAP | Not filled | — | — |
| 2026-07-30 | IBB | BUY @189.96 | FailedBreakdown_Up_20D | Stopped out | +1.0% | +13.3% |
| 2026-07-29 | XLE | BUY QUEUED @56.93 | PullbackBuy_VWAP | Not filled | — | — |
| 2026-07-27 | XLF | BUY QUEUED @55.84 | PullbackBuy_VWAP | Not filled | — | — |
| 2026-07-17 | IBB | ADD QUEUED @189.42 | PullbackBuy_VWAP | Stopped out | -0.7% | +4.7% |
| 2026-07-17 | XBI | ADD QUEUED @155.23 | PullbackBuy_VWAP | Stopped out | -3.1% | +1.4% |
| 2026-07-16 | XLF | ADD QUEUED @56.89 | AnticipationUp_VCP | Hit target (4w) | -1.0% | +2.2% |
| 2026-07-15 | XLF | ADD QUEUED @56.99 | MomentumContinuation_Up | Not filled | — | — |
| 2026-07-14 | IBB | BUY @188.67 | PullbackBuy_VWAP | Hit target (4w) | -1.1% | +6.0% |
| 2026-07-14 | XLF | ADD QUEUED @54.79 | PullbackBuy_VWAP | Not filled | — | — |
| 2026-07-14 | MAGS | ADD QUEUED @64.88 | PullbackBuy_VWAP | Not filled | — | — |
| 2026-07-13 | XLP | BUY @84.59 | FailedBreakdown_Up_20D | Stopped out | +0.7% | +0.6% |
| 2026-07-10 | SPY | ADD QUEUED @744.11 | PullbackBuy_VWAP | Not filled | — | — |
| 2026-07-07 | XLP | BUY NEW @84.86 | FailedBreakdown_Up_20D | Stopped out | -0.3% | +0.0% |
| 2026-07-07 | SKYY | BUY QUEUED @139.01 | FailedBreakdown_Up_20D | Stopped out | +0.2% | +10.4% |
| 2026-07-06 | XLP | BUY NEW @84.10 | FailedBreakdown_Up_20D | Stopped out | +0.0% | +1.1% |
| 2026-07-06 | SPY | BUY NEW @751.28 | FailedBreakdown_Up_20D | Stopped out | +0.5% | -0.6% |
| 2026-07-06 | SKYY | ADD QUEUED @137.56 | FailedBreakdown_Up_20D | Stopped out | +1.8% | +7.6% |
| 2026-07-03 | XLP | BUY NEW QUEUED gtc-limit @84.99 | FailedBreakdown_Up_20D | Stopped out | -0.7% | +2.8% |
| 2026-07-03 | XLF | BUY NEW QUEUED gtc-limit @55.22 | BreakoutUp_20D | Hit target (1w) | -0.5% | +2.6% |
| 2026-06-27 | IWM | QUEUED NEW | AnticipationUp_VCP | Closed | -1.0% | -3.0% |
| 2026-06-26 | SOXX | BUY | FailedBreakdown_Up_20D | Stopped out | -9.4% | -11.6% |
| 2026-06-26 | IWM | BUY | AnticipationUp_VCP | Closed | -0.9% | -3.0% |
| 2026-06-25 | IBB | ACQUIRE @180.03 | BreakoutUp_20D | Hit target (1w) | +5.6% | +3.6% |
| 2026-06-24 | IBB | ACQUIRE @177.52 | BreakoutUp_52W | Hit target (1w) | +7.1% | +5.1% |
| 2026-06-24 | XLK | QUEUED gtc-stop @187.66 | PullbackBuy_VWAP | Stopped out | -3.8% | -3.7% |
| 2026-06-24 | QTUM | QUEUED gtc-limit @161.61 | PullbackBuy_VWAP | Stopped out | -4.1% | -10.2% |
| 2026-06-23 | XBI | ACQUIRE; exit by ~4wk | BreakoutUp_52W | Hit target (1w) | +7.3% | +3.5% |
| 2026-06-23 | IBB | ACQUIRE; 12wk flat | BreakoutUp_52W | Hit target (1w) | +7.4% | +5.4% |
| 2026-06-23 | XLI | ACQUIRE QUEUED gtc-stop 183.22 | AnticipationUp_VCP | Stopped out | +0.4% | -2.5% |
| 2026-06-18 | SMH | BUY new | MomentumContinuation_Up | Stopped out | -0.6% | -10.4% |
| 2026-06-18 | XBI | STRONG BUY | BreakoutUp_20D | Not filled | — | — |
| 2026-06-17 | QTUM | STRONG BUY | MomentumContinuation_Up | Stopped out | -2.5% | -8.7% |
| 2026-06-16 | QTUM | BUY | PullbackBuy_VWAP | Stopped out | -2.1% | -8.3% |
| 2026-06-16 | IWM | BUY | AnticipationUp_VCP | Closed | +0.4% | +0.1% |
| 2026-06-16 | SPY | BUY | FailedBreakdown_Up_20D | Stopped out | -1.3% | -0.9% |