This website is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always do your own research and assess your own risk tolerance before making investment decisions.

US End-of-Day Verdict 11 Nov 2026, 16:00:00 GMT-5 Decided by: Manual

Sector ETFs — End-of-Day Verdict

NO ACTION on the recorded book: 0 ACQUIRE (zero BUY prints on the board; prior IBB/DIA/XLF/XLP BUYs all decayed), 0 DISPOSE (CASH only); anticipate slot ineligible

Total-Return Index · Q4 2026 100.0 0.0% QTD Performance ›

Today's recommendations

0 to acquire · 6 to dispose

TickerNameCloseActionAction Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. Rationale
DIASPDR Dow Jones Industrial Avg522.47WATCH522.47518.67524.42 (+0.4%)524.71 (+0.4%)512.13 (-2.0%)BUY 71 decayed to WATCH 56 in one session (X2 half-life); T 512.13 < close 522.47 (deadwk). Re-arm: second >=65 print with Payoff_4W >=1.5x and T >= close. · news
DXYZDestiny Tech100 Inc25.30WATCH25.3025.3025.31 (+0.0%)29.04 (+14.8%)37.38 (+47.7%)AVOID 68 (FailedBreakout_Down_20D); long-only - stand aside. · news
SPYSPDR S&P 500 ETF757.12SELL757.12766.13761.34 (+0.6%)758.24 (+0.1%)756.92 (-0.0%)Contingent stop-discipline exit: SPY closed 757.12 on 11-12, still -1.2% below its 766.13 closing stop; label AVOID. SELL at the 11-13 open only if the lot is real; reprice if the open gaps >1.5%. L2/SE-7/U3 + Y5 re-entry block until a close above 766.13. ADR-0019 unreconciled - record trade sell/skip. · news
QQQInvesco QQQ (Nasdaq-100)688.17SELL688.17736.27683.05 (-0.7%)665.14 (-3.3%)740.08 (+7.5%)Contingent stop-discipline exit: QQQ closed 688.17 on 11-12, still -6.5% below its 736.27 closing stop; label NO TRADE. SELL at the 11-13 open only if the lot is real; reprice if the open gaps >1.5%. L2/SE-7/U3 + Y5 re-entry block until a close above 736.27. ADR-0019 unreconciled - record trade sell/skip. · news
IWMiShares Russell 2000 ETF278.44WATCH278.44275.65279.08 (+0.2%)275.70 (-1.0%)267.23 (-4.0%)WATCH, -1.6% on the day; T 267.23 < close. Re-arm: raw >=72 with Payoff_4W >=1.5x. · news
MAGSRoundhill Magnificent Seven ETF68.86SELL68.8671.9468.96 (+0.1%)68.08 (-1.1%)71.33 (+3.6%)Contingent stop-discipline exit: MAGS closed 68.86 on 11-12, still -4.3% below its 71.94 closing stop; label NO TRADE. SELL at the 11-13 open only if the lot is real; reprice if the open gaps >1.5%. L2/SE-7/U3 + Y5 re-entry block until a close above 71.94. ADR-0019 unreconciled - record trade sell/skip. · news
SOXXiShares Semiconductor ETF154.99WATCH154.99—153.24 (-1.1%)167.88 (+8.3%)181.44 (+17.1%)NO TRADE; split-adjusted history fix still unverified (Y7) - no read until verified. · news
AIQGlobal X AI & Tech ETF59.49SELL59.4966.1059.85 (+0.6%)58.27 (-2.1%)63.49 (+6.7%)Contingent stop-discipline exit: AIQ closed 59.49 on 11-12, still -10.0% below its 66.10 closing stop; label NO TRADE. SELL at the 11-13 open only if the lot is real; reprice if the open gaps >1.5%. L2/SE-7/U3 + Y5 re-entry block until a close above 66.10. ADR-0019 unreconciled - record trade sell/skip. · news
GLDSPDR Gold Shares ETF354.89WATCH354.89361.98355.73 (+0.2%)361.47 (+1.9%)358.72 (+1.1%)AVOID 65 (RallySell_BearTrend); long-only - stand aside. · news
—VanEck Semiconductor ETF—NO ACTION——n/an/an/aNO TRADE (Consensus conflict + low conviction); no buy trigger.
SKYYFirst Trust Cloud Computing ETF154.19SELL154.19164.25153.54 (-0.4%)158.05 (+2.5%)171.81 (+11.4%)Contingent stop-discipline exit: SKYY closed 154.19 on 11-12, still -6.1% below its 164.25 closing stop; label NO TRADE. SELL at the 11-13 open only if the lot is real; reprice if the open gaps >1.5%. L2/SE-7/U3 + Y5 re-entry block until a close above 164.25. ADR-0019 unreconciled - record trade sell/skip. · news
IBBiShares Biotech ETF213.43WATCH213.43213.15214.63 (+0.6%)218.19 (+2.2%)220.66 (+3.4%)Contingent : close 213.43 > trail 213.15; HOLD, exit on any close below 213.15. Cushion is now only +0.1% after a -2.2% day and the signal cooled B74 -> W63: any close below 213.15 is an exit (do not lower the trail to the model's 210.70). No add: no BUY print. · news
XBISPDR S&P Biotech ETF151.20WATCH151.20151.20151.45 (+0.2%)149.31 (-1.2%)156.10 (+3.2%)W62 -> AVOID 53 (FailedBreakout_Down_20D), -3.3% worst on board. Long-only: stand aside. Re-arm: raw >=66 BUY with Payoff_4W >=1.5x. · news
XLFFinancial Select Sector SPDR58.21WATCH58.21—58.61 (+0.7%)58.15 (-0.1%)57.57 (-1.1%)BUY streak (66/67/70) broke to NO TRADE; T 57.57 < close. Re-arm: two consecutive >=80 prints with Payoff_4W >=1.5x and T >= close. · news
XLEEnergy Select Sector SPDR64.33SELL64.3364.4063.93 (-0.6%)65.67 (+2.1%)69.84 (+8.6%)Contingent stop-discipline exit: XLE closed 64.33 on 11-12, still -0.1% below its 64.40 closing stop; label NO TRADE. SELL at the 11-13 open only if the lot is real; reprice if the open gaps >1.5%. L2/SE-7/U3 + Y5 re-entry block until a close above 64.40. ADR-0019 unreconciled - record trade sell/skip. · news
XLIIndustrial Select Sector SPDR169.44WATCH169.44165.04169.79 (+0.2%)167.07 (-1.4%)168.04 (-0.8%)Contingent : close 169.44 > trail 165.04; HOLD, exit on any close below 165.04. Signal NT0 -> W49; cushion +2.7%. No add: no BUY print. · news
XLVHealth Care Select Sector SPDR187.83WATCH187.83—188.65 (+0.4%)188.01 (+0.1%)181.08 (-3.6%)W61 -> NO TRADE; T 181.08 < close 187.83. Re-arm: two consecutive >=80 prints with Payoff_4W >=1.5x and T >= close. · news
—Tech Select Sector SPDR—NO ACTION——n/an/an/aNO TRADE (Consensus conflict + low conviction); no buy trigger.
XLPConsumer Staples SPDR91.06WATCH91.06—91.25 (+0.2%)88.76 (-2.5%)87.93 (-3.4%)BUY 66 -> NO TRADE; T 87.93 < close. Re-arm: two consecutive >=80 prints with Payoff_4W >=1.5x and T >= close. · news
XLYConsumer Discretionary SPDR120.46WATCH120.46—120.67 (+0.2%)118.10 (-2.0%)122.63 (+1.8%)Second NO TRADE after the one-session B73. Re-arm: fresh >=65 print with Payoff_4W >=1.5x and T >= close. · news
UFOProcure Space ETF (SpaceTech)41.12WATCH41.1241.1241.09 (-0.1%)41.92 (+1.9%)45.14 (+9.8%)AVOID 30 (FailedBreakout_Down_20D); long-only - stand aside. · news
QTUMDefiance Quantum ETF132.49WATCH132.49132.49132.04 (-0.3%)131.16 (-1.0%)146.17 (+10.3%)AVOID 54 (FailedBreakout_Down_20D); long-only - stand aside. · news

Outcome & track record

How accurate the calls have been.

180 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one. See the decisions →
-0.427 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
88 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.

Signal-type track record How each signal *type* has performed across ALL of this book's past decisions — not a per-stock note. 'bias' is the conviction nudge (+/-) applied to a fresh signal of that type; n = sample size, hit_1w = share that hit the 1-week target. Reliable cells earn a boost; weak ones a haircut.

How each signal type has performed across this book's past decisions (aggregate, not per-stock) — and the conviction nudge it earns.

  • BreakdownDown_20D (sell): 6 past trades, 33% hit the 1-week target → -3 conviction nudge.
  • FailedBreakdown_Up_20D (buy): 28 past trades, 43% hit the 1-week target → -1 conviction nudge.
  • FailedBreakdown_Up_20D (sell): 17 past trades, 77% hit the 1-week target → +5 conviction nudge.
  • FailedBreakout_Down_20D (sell): 17 past trades, 44% hit the 1-week target → -1 conviction nudge.
  • NoTrade (sell): 71 past trades, 57% hit the 1-week target → +1 conviction nudge.
  • PullbackBuy_VWAP (buy): 24 past trades, 17% hit the 1-week target → -7 conviction nudge.

Portfolio & signals

Every name we scanned, and where it stands.

TickerNameCloseSignal The chart pattern the engine detected on this name. Hover a signal for its one-line definition; click it for the full setup/trigger rules, the trade box it produces, and the newsletter issue that teaches the underlying concept. ActionConv1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close.
Destiny Tech100 Inc25.30FailedBreakout_Down_20DAVOID6825.31 (+0.0%)n/a37.38 (+47.7%)
SPDR Gold Shares ETF354.89RallySell_BearTrendAVOID65355.73 (+0.2%)354.67 (-0.1%)358.72 (+1.1%)
iShares Biotech ETF213.43FailedBreakdown_Up_20DWATCH63214.63 (+0.6%)224.34 (+5.1%)220.66 (+3.4%)
SPDR S&P 500 ETF757.12FailedBreakout_Down_20DAVOID61761.34 (+0.6%)n/a756.92 (-0.0%)
SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Avg522.47FailedBreakdown_Up_20DWATCH56524.42 (+0.4%)537.66 (+2.9%)512.13 (-2.0%)
Defiance Quantum ETF132.49FailedBreakout_Down_20DAVOID54132.04 (-0.3%)n/a146.17 (+10.3%)
SPDR S&P Biotech ETF151.20FailedBreakout_Down_20DAVOID53151.45 (+0.2%)n/a156.10 (+3.2%)
Industrial Select Sector SPDR169.44FailedBreakdown_Up_20DWATCH49169.79 (+0.2%)176.23 (+4.0%)168.04 (-0.8%)
iShares Russell 2000 ETF278.44FailedBreakdown_Up_20DWATCH44279.08 (+0.2%)289.59 (+4.0%)267.23 (-4.0%)
Procure Space ETF (SpaceTech)41.12FailedBreakout_Down_20DAVOID3041.09 (-0.1%)n/a45.14 (+9.8%)
Invesco QQQ (Nasdaq-100)688.17NoTradeNO TRADE0683.05 (-0.7%)n/a740.08 (+7.5%)
Roundhill Magnificent Seven ETF68.86NoTradeNO TRADE068.96 (+0.1%)n/a71.33 (+3.6%)
iShares Semiconductor ETF154.99NoTradeNO TRADE0153.24 (-1.1%)n/a181.44 (+17.1%)
Global X AI & Tech ETF59.49NoTradeNO TRADE059.85 (+0.6%)n/a63.49 (+6.7%)
VanEck Semiconductor ETF501.73NoTradeNO TRADE0499.58 (-0.4%)n/a551.59 (+9.9%)
First Trust Cloud Computing ETF154.19NoTradeNO TRADE0153.54 (-0.4%)n/a171.81 (+11.4%)
Financial Select Sector SPDR58.21NoTradeNO TRADE058.61 (+0.7%)n/a57.57 (-1.1%)
Energy Select Sector SPDR64.33NoTradeNO TRADE063.93 (-0.6%)n/a69.84 (+8.6%)
Health Care Select Sector SPDR187.83NoTradeNO TRADE0188.65 (+0.4%)n/a181.08 (-3.6%)
Tech Select Sector SPDR173.77NoTradeNO TRADE0172.94 (-0.5%)n/a193.06 (+11.1%)
Consumer Staples SPDR91.06NoTradeNO TRADE091.25 (+0.2%)n/a87.93 (-3.4%)
Consumer Discretionary SPDR120.46NoTradeNO TRADE0120.67 (+0.2%)n/a122.63 (+1.8%)

Archive

Earlier end-of-day records.

This website is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always do your own research and assess your own risk tolerance before making investment decisions.