Sector ETFs — End-of-Day Verdict
NO ACTION; SKYY SB85 deferred one session (FOMC/X2/Y2); IBB B58 below floor (0.10x); contingent exits AIQ/QQQ/SPY/MAGS
Recommendations
0 to acquire · 4 to dispose
| Ticker | Name | Close | Action | Action Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. | Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. | 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | Rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IBB | iShares Biotech ETF | 212.20 | WATCH | 213.39 | 208.68 | 213.49 (+0.0%) | 214.86 (+0.7%) | 215.74 (+1.1%) | Biotech broke to a 52-week high (BUY 58, +1.68% to 212.20) but is below the 65 floor and its Payoff_4W is 0.10x ((214.86-213.39)/(213.39-198.45)), so no new entry. The-share contingent exit was due at the 10-26 open; if not taken, hold on the reclaim (212.20 > 208.68) with the same stop. Re-arm: BUY adj >=65 with Payoff_4W >=1.5x. · news |
| AIQ | Global X AI & Tech ETF | 63.66 | SELL ALL | 63.66 | 66.10 | 64.44 (+1.2%) | 67.16 (+5.5%) | 68.10 (+7.0%) | The AI & Tech ETF rose +1.14% to 63.66 but stays NO TRADE 0 and below the 66.10 stop for a 12th close. SELL the 73 + at the 10-28 open if still held (stop discipline; forwards positive, so not a downside forecast). Y5 until a close > 66.10. · news |
| QQQ | Invesco QQQ (Nasdaq-100) | 721.25 | SELL ALL | 721.25 | 736.27 | 727.95 (+0.9%) | 738.20 (+2.4%) | 748.53 (+3.8%) | The Nasdaq-100 ETF rose +1.27% to 721.25 but is NO TRADE 0 for a 4th print and still below the 736.27 stop. SELL at the 10-28 open if still held. Y5 until a close > 736.27. · news |
| SPY | SPDR S&P 500 ETF | 769.66 | SELL ALL | 769.66 | 775.14 | 768.22 (-0.2%) | 773.79 (+0.5%) | 792.75 (+3.0%) | The S&P 500 ETF rose +0.56% to 769.66 but turned AVOID 59 (FailedBreakout_Down_20D). The 775. is still below its stop: SELL at the 10-28 open if still held. The 766.'s exit was due at the 10-26 open; if not taken, hold it on the reclaim (769.66 > 766.13) with the same stop. · news |
| MAGS | Roundhill Magnificent Seven ETF | 71.46 | SELL ALL | 71.46 | 71.94 | 71.44 (-0.0%) | 72.25 (+1.1%) | 72.92 (+2.0%) | The Magnificent Seven ETF rose +1.07% to 71.46 but is NO TRADE 0 and closed below the 71.94 stop for a 4th time, with flat forwards (Est_4W 72.25). SELL at the 10-28 open if still held. Y5 until a close > 71.94. · news |
| XLE | Energy Select Sector SPDR | 68.21 | WATCH | 68.21 | 64.40 | 68.58 (+0.5%) | 69.11 (+1.3%) | 71.22 (+4.4%) | Energy fell -2.05% to 68.21 as crude eased on Middle East peace talks; it went from ANTICIPATE 73 to NO TRADE 0, so the anticipate slot is void (no live row). HOLD the if held: 68.21 > 64.40 stop. · news |
| XLY | Consumer Discretionary SPDR | 115.45 | WATCH | 115.45 | 114.31 | 115.68 (+0.2%) | 116.32 (+0.8%) | 116.57 (+1.0%) | Consumer discretionary WATCH 64 (adj 63 after the -1 cell bias) with Payoff_4W 0.76x: below floor. Re-arm: BUY adj >=65 with Payoff_4W >=1.5x. · news |
| DIA | SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Avg | 523.28 | WATCH | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | Dow ETF WATCH 51 (0 of the last 3 prints ANTICIPATE): no slot. · news |
| — | iShares Semiconductor ETF | — | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | NO TRADE 0 x4 despite +3.91% on the chip rally: consensus conflict + low conviction; no entry. |
| — | VanEck Semiconductor ETF | — | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | NO TRADE 0 x4 despite +3.02%: consensus conflict + low conviction; no entry. |
| — | Defiance Quantum ETF | — | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | NO TRADE 0 x4 (+2.58%): consensus conflict + low conviction; no entry. |
| — | iShares Russell 2000 ETF | — | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | NO TRADE 0 x4 (+1.15%): consensus conflict + low conviction; no entry. |
| — | Financial Select Sector SPDR | — | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | WATCH -> NO TRADE 0 (-0.25%): no entry. |
| — | Health Care Select Sector SPDR | — | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | NO TRADE 0 x3 (-0.06%): no entry. |
| — | Consumer Staples SPDR | — | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | NO TRADE 0 x3 (-0.92%): no entry. |
| — | Industrial Select Sector SPDR | — | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | AVOID 75 -> NO TRADE 0 (+0.57%): no entry. |
| XLK | Tech Select Sector SPDR | 189.49 | WATCH | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | NO TRADE -> AVOID 65 (+1.70%): long-only, stand aside. · news |
| GLD | SPDR Gold Shares ETF | 372.28 | WATCH | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | AVOID 68 (+1.21%): long-only, stand aside. · news |
| UFO | Procure Space ETF (SpaceTech) | 41.13 | WATCH | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | AVOID 68 x3: long-only, stand aside. · news |
| XBI | SPDR S&P Biotech ETF | 154.84 | WATCH | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | AVOID 65 (+2.90%): long-only, stand aside. · news |
| DXYZ | Destiny Tech100 Inc | 28.10 | WATCH | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | AVOID 68; OVERVALUED, Quality_Pass False (quality gate). · news |
Outcome & track record
Accuracy at the time of this record.
112 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one. See the decisions →
-0.427 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
88 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.