Sector ETFs — End-of-Day Verdict
ACQUIRE SKYY 28 (U5 re-arm met, B75 adj 74, 3.16x); QUEUED XLV @174.30 (SB76 adj 69, 1.60x); XLE B69 declined (flip-flop); IBB SB78 declined (0.38x, past buy-stop); 0 DISPOSE on the recorded book
Recommendations
2 to acquire · 4 to dispose
| Ticker | Name | Close | Action | Action Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. | Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. | 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | Rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SKYY | First Trust Cloud Computing ETF | 172.31 | BUY | 172.31 | 170.39 | 173.60 (+0.7%) | 178.37 (+3.5%) | 186.52 (+8.2%) | The cloud ETF confirmed its deferred STRONG BUY: it held a BUY 75 print through the FOMC (AV72 -> B68 -> SB85 -> B75), closed 172.31 above the 169.38 re-arm level, and the 4-week payoff is 3.16x at an unextended market entry. After the close MSFT's beat (+4%) offset GOOGL's miss, so the cloud read is mixed-to-supportive. This is the U5 re-arm from 10-27, met on all three tests (adj 74 >= 65; close > 169.38; Payoff_4W >= 1.5x). It is sized off the LIVE row (Portion 49.24% x x 20% / 172.31 = 28,), not the stale 49. Stop 170.39 is the engine's constant 0.50-ATR fixed_with_time_stop (Y2), so treat it as provisional. Execute at the 10-29 open (L8); reprice or stand aside if the open gaps more than 1.5% off 172.31 on the GOOGL miss. Est_1W is directional only (calib_1w -0.427, L5/SE-3). · news |
| XLV | Health Care Select Sector SPDR | 179.72 | BUY — QUEUED @174.30 | 174.30 | 170.81 | 180.36 (+3.5%) | 179.89 (+3.2%) | 180.45 (+3.5%) | Health care flipped to STRONG BUY 76 on a PullbackBuy_VWAP setup. The book's -7 cell haircut leaves adj 69, and the 4-week payoff is 1.60x, but the close (179.72, RSI 65) is 1.81 ATR above the 174.30 model entry. So it is QUEUED as a GTC limit at the printed Entry_Price, with no chase. Sizing: 85.49% x x 20% / 174.30 = 49. Stop 170.81. Expires 11-02 (3 sessions). Withdraw early if conviction falls below 65 (X2: single prints decay). It is the first print after three NO TRADE 0 sessions, so a fill needs a ~3% pullback. PullbackBuy_VWAP|buy is 4/23 on 1wk targets here. · news |
| IBB | iShares Biotech ETF | 216.35 | WATCH | 213.40 | 196.79 | 217.03 (+1.7%) | 219.67 (+2.9%) | 216.39 (+1.4%) | Biotech printed STRONG BUY 78 at a fresh 52-week high (216.35, +1.96%), but there is no new entry. The 213.40 buy-stop was already passed at the close (EDA -0.55), Payoff_4W is 0.38x ((219.67-213.40)/(213.40-196.79)), and Est_12W 216.39 is flat to the close (a dead forward view). Contingent if held: HOLD on stop 208.68 (close +3.7% above).Re-arm: BUY adj >= 65 with Payoff_4W >= 1.5x. · news |
| AIQ | Global X AI & Tech ETF | 64.40 | SELL ALL | 64.40 | 66.10 | 65.12 (+1.1%) | 66.99 (+4.0%) | 68.84 (+6.9%) | The AI & Tech ETF rose +1.16% to 64.40 but stays below the 66.10 stop for a 13th close and now prints AVOID 65. If still held, SELL the 73 + at the 10-29 open (stop discipline, L2). Y5 until a close > 66.10. · news |
| QQQ | Invesco QQQ (Nasdaq-100) | 725.61 | SELL ALL | 725.61 | 736.27 | 731.80 (+0.9%) | 748.22 (+3.1%) | 751.79 (+3.6%) | The Nasdaq-100 closed 725.61 (+0.60%), still below the 736.27 stop, and now prints AVOID 61. If still held, SELL at the 10-29 open. Y5 until a close > 736.27. · news |
| SPY | SPDR S&P 500 ETF | 772.31 | SELL ALL | 772.31 | 775.14 | 769.05 (-0.4%) | 770.43 (-0.2%) | 797.42 (+3.3%) | The S&P 500 ETF closed 772.31 (WATCH). That is still below the 775.'s stop, so SELL that at the 10-29 open if held. The 766. reclaimed (772.31 > 766.13), so HOLD it on its stop. · news |
| MAGS | Roundhill Magnificent Seven ETF | 71.26 | SELL ALL | 71.26 | 71.94 | 71.30 (+0.1%) | 72.07 (+1.1%) | 72.59 (+1.9%) | The Magnificent Seven ETF slipped to 71.26 (-0.28%), NO TRADE 0, below the 71.94 stop for a 5th close. If still held, SELL at the 10-29 open. Y5 until a close > 71.94. · news |
| DIA | SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Avg | 524.68 | WATCH | 524.68 | 522.44 | 524.41 (-0.1%) | 527.56 (+0.5%) | 520.94 (-0.7%) | WATCH (adj 48), below the floor, Payoff_4W 1.29x. No slot. · news |
| XLF | Financial Select Sector SPDR | 56.13 | WATCH | 56.13 | 55.81 | 56.18 (+0.1%) | 56.33 (+0.4%) | 56.75 (+1.1%) | WATCH 49, below the floor, Payoff_4W 0.62x. · news |
| — | iShares Russell 2000 ETF | — | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | NO TRADE 0 for a 4th print ('Consensus conflict + low conviction'). |
| — | Consumer Staples SPDR | — | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | NO TRADE 0 ('Consensus conflict + low conviction'). |
| — | Consumer Discretionary SPDR | — | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | Fell back from WATCH 64 to NO TRADE 0 ('Consensus conflict + low conviction'). The re-arm is unmet. |
| — | Industrial Select Sector SPDR | — | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | NO TRADE 0 ('Consensus conflict + low conviction'). |
| — | Defiance Quantum ETF | — | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | NO TRADE 0 for a 4th print despite +1.27%. |
| SOXX | iShares Semiconductor ETF | 521.94 | WATCH | 521.94 | 521.94 | 521.61 (-0.1%) | 522.21 (+0.1%) | 552.42 (+5.8%) | AVOID 75 (FailedBreakout_Down_20D) on a +2.13% day. Long-only, so stand aside. · news |
| SMH | VanEck Semiconductor ETF | 567.67 | WATCH | 567.67 | 567.67 | 567.50 (-0.0%) | 571.09 (+0.6%) | 610.62 (+7.6%) | AVOID 68 on a +1.74% day. Long-only, so stand aside. · news |
| XLK | Tech Select Sector SPDR | 191.00 | WATCH | 191.00 | 191.00 | 193.74 (+1.4%) | 199.17 (+4.3%) | 205.52 (+7.6%) | AVOID 50. Long-only, so stand aside. · news |
| GLD | SPDR Gold Shares ETF | 373.51 | WATCH | 373.51 | 373.51 | 375.15 (+0.4%) | 382.30 (+2.4%) | 393.11 (+5.2%) | AVOID 75. Long-only, so stand aside. · news |
| XBI | SPDR S&P Biotech ETF | 157.51 | WATCH | 157.51 | 157.51 | 158.13 (+0.4%) | 159.42 (+1.2%) | 162.86 (+3.4%) | AVOID 65. Long-only, so stand aside. · news |
| UFO | Procure Space ETF (SpaceTech) | 41.28 | WATCH | 41.28 | 41.28 | 41.50 (+0.5%) | 42.05 (+1.9%) | 42.56 (+3.1%) | AVOID 57. Long-only, so stand aside. · news |
| DXYZ | Destiny Tech100 Inc | 27.65 | WATCH | 27.65 | 27.65 | 27.71 (+0.2%) | 28.28 (+2.3%) | 32.18 (+16.4%) | AVOID 61, OVERVALUED with Quality_Pass False (quality gate). · news |
Outcome & track record
Accuracy at the time of this record.
116 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one. See the decisions →
-0.427 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
88 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.