Sector ETFs — End-of-Day Verdict
NO ACTION; only bullish row XLE BUY 63 below floor; defensive rotation (XLP/XLF/XLV) collapsed to NO TRADE, confirming the 10-22 declines; contingent exits AIQ/QQQ/SPY/SKYY(28)/MAGS/IBB(new)
Recommendations
0 to acquire · 6 to dispose
| Ticker | Name | Close | Action | Action Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. | Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. | 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | Rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| XLE | Energy Select Sector SPDR | 69.33 | WATCH | 68.81 | 63.63 | 69.56 (+1.1%) | 71.44 (+3.8%) | 72.42 (+5.2%) | Energy broke out (NO TRADE 0 -> BUY 63, BreakoutUp_20D, Buy_Rank 1) as Brent hit a 5-month high on Houthi attacks, but it is declined as a new buy: adj 63 is below the 65 floor, Payoff_4W 0.51x ((71.44-68.81)/(68.81-63.63)), a single-print breakout on a geopolitical oil spike (X2). HOLD the if held: 69.33 > 64.40 stop. Re-arm: BUY adj >=65 with Payoff_4W >=1.5x. · news |
| AIQ | Global X AI & Tech ETF | 62.29 | SELL ALL | 62.29 | 66.10 | 63.32 (+1.7%) | 66.80 (+7.2%) | 66.90 (+7.4%) | AI & Tech ETF stays NO TRADE 0 and closed 62.29 < 66.10 stop for a 10th close. SELL the 73 + at the 10-26 open if still held (stop discipline; forwards positive, so not a downside forecast). Y5 until a close > 66.10. · news |
| QQQ | Invesco QQQ (Nasdaq-100) | 704.40 | SELL ALL | 704.40 | 736.27 | 714.62 (+1.5%) | 734.90 (+4.3%) | 747.12 (+6.1%) | Nasdaq-100 flat (-0.01%) at 704.40, NO TRADE 0 x5, still below the 736.27 stop. SELL at the 10-26 open if still held. Y5 until a close > 736.27. · news |
| SPY | SPDR S&P 500 ETF | 759.97 | SELL ALL | 759.97 | 766.13 | 757.52 (-0.3%) | 764.56 (+0.6%) | 781.39 (+2.8%) | S&P 500 ETF -0.52% to 759.97, NO TRADE 0 for a 2nd print, below both lot stops (766.13 / 775.14). SELL both-share lots at the 10-26 open if still held. Est_1W 757.52 below close. Y5 until a close > 766.13. · news |
| SKYY | First Trust Cloud Computing ETF | 167.36 | SELL ALL | 167.36 | 169.30 | 167.61 (+0.1%) | 174.34 (+4.2%) | 182.66 (+9.1%) | Cloud ETF bounced +1.85% to 167.36 but prints AVOID 72 (FailedBreakout_Down_20D) and stays below the 169.30 stop of the : SELL at the 10-26 open if still held. HOLD the (stop 164.25, now +1.9% cushion). · news |
| MAGS | Roundhill Magnificent Seven ETF | 70.07 | SELL ALL | 70.07 | 71.94 | 70.16 (+0.1%) | 70.34 (+0.4%) | 70.82 (+1.1%) | Magnificent Seven ETF slipped to 70.07 (WATCH 52 -> NO TRADE 0), a 2nd close below the 71.94 stop, flat forwards (Est_4W 70.34). SELL at the 10-26 open if still held (L2-style stop break, dead forward view). · news |
| IBB | iShares Biotech ETF | 207.74 | SELL ALL | 207.74 | 208.68 | 209.20 (+0.7%) | 210.37 (+1.3%) | 212.49 (+2.3%) | Biotech flipped BUY 69 -> NO TRADE 0 and closed 207.74 < 208.68 stop (NEW break, -0.45%, ~0.2 ATR). SELL at the 10-26 open if still held (closing-basis stop discipline; forwards mildly positive, so reprice if the open reclaims 208.68). Y5 until a close > 208.68. · news |
| — | iShares Semiconductor ETF | — | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | NO TRADE 0 x5 (+0.53%, RSI 32): consensus conflict + low conviction; no entry. |
| — | VanEck Semiconductor ETF | — | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | NO TRADE 0 x5 (+0.74%, RSI 33): consensus conflict + low conviction; no entry. |
| — | Tech Select Sector SPDR | — | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | NO TRADE 0 x5 (+0.49%): consensus conflict + low conviction; no entry. |
| — | Defiance Quantum ETF | — | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | NO TRADE 0 x5 (+0.49%): consensus conflict + low conviction; no entry. |
| — | iShares Russell 2000 ETF | — | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | NO TRADE 0 (-0.33%): consensus conflict + low conviction; no entry. |
| — | Financial Select Sector SPDR | — | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | STRONG BUY 82 -> NO TRADE 0 (-1.32%): the PullbackBuy_VWAP re-arm is void; the U4 decline was right (no fill). |
| — | Health Care Select Sector SPDR | — | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | BUY 70 -> NO TRADE 0 (-1.11%): one-print breakout faded, W3 decline confirmed. |
| — | Consumer Staples SPDR | — | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | STRONG BUY 90 -> NO TRADE 0 (-1.92%): X2 single-print decay confirmed, decline saved ~0.5% vs the 88.72 entry. |
| XLY | Consumer Discretionary SPDR | 113.10 | WATCH | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | WATCH 54 (-1.66%), Payoff_4W 0.97x: below floor. · news |
| GLD | SPDR Gold Shares ETF | 366.61 | WATCH | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | AVOID 59 (BreakdownDown_52W, -0.65%): long-only, stand aside. · news |
| XLI | Industrial Select Sector SPDR | 164.62 | WATCH | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | AVOID 56 (RallySell_BearTrend, -1.27%): long-only, stand aside. · news |
| UFO | Procure Space ETF (SpaceTech) | 39.86 | WATCH | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | AVOID 68 (FailedBreakout_Down_20D): long-only, stand aside. · news |
| XBI | SPDR S&P Biotech ETF | 149.54 | WATCH | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | NO TRADE -> AVOID 66 (-1.38%): long-only, stand aside. · news |
| DXYZ | Destiny Tech100 Inc | 27.50 | WATCH | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | AVOID 76 (FailedBreakout_Down_20D); OVERVALUED, Quality_Pass False (quality gate). · news |
Outcome & track record
Accuracy at the time of this record.
106 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one. See the decisions →
-0.427 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
88 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.