Sector ETFs — End-of-Day Verdict
NO ACTION; defensive rotation (XLP SB90, XLF SB82, XLV B70) all declined on construction (W3/U4/X2); contingent exits AIQ/QQQ/SPY(both lots)/SKYY(28)/MAGS(135)
Recommendations
0 to acquire · 5 to dispose
| Ticker | Name | Close | Action | Action Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. | Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. | 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | Rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IBB | iShares Biotech ETF | 209.54 | WATCH | 209.54 | 208.68 | 210.80 (+0.6%) | 211.46 (+0.9%) | 216.18 (+3.2%) | Biotech cooled from ANTICIPATE 93 to BUY 69 (FailedBreakdown_Up_20D, adj 68) and is declined as a new buy: Payoff_4W 0.69x ((211.46-209.54)/(209.54-206.77)). HOLD the if held: 209.54 is a third close above the 208.68 stop. · news |
| AIQ | Global X AI & Tech ETF | 62.07 | SELL | 62.07 | 66.10 | 63.27 (+1.9%) | 66.65 (+7.4%) | 67.32 (+8.5%) | AI & tech ETF fell -3.0% to 62.07 in the AI-capex selloff, its 9th close below the 66.10 stop, still NO TRADE 0. SELL the 73+ at the 10-23 open if still held (stop discipline, L2). Y5 until a close > 66.10. · news |
| QQQ | Invesco QQQ (Nasdaq-100) | 704.47 | SELL | 704.47 | 736.27 | 713.13 (+1.2%) | 734.66 (+4.3%) | 745.40 (+5.8%) | Nasdaq-100 -2.9% to 704.47, now 4.3% below the 736.27 stop, NO TRADE 0. SELL at the 10-23 open if still held. Y5 until a close > 736.27. · news |
| SPY | SPDR S&P 500 ETF | 763.96 | SELL | 763.96 | 766.13 | 763.71 (-0.0%) | 767.10 (+0.4%) | 786.91 (+3.0%) | S&P 500 ETF -1.2% to 763.96 flipped WATCH 59 -> NO TRADE 0 and broke BOTH lot stops (775.14 and now 766.13). SELL both-share lots at the 10-23 open if still held. Y5 until a close > 766.13 (and > 775.14 for the second lot). · news |
| SKYY | First Trust Cloud Computing ETF | 164.32 | SELL | 164.32 | 169.30 | 164.08 (-0.1%) | 170.65 (+3.9%) | 178.10 (+8.4%) | Cloud ETF -1.4% to 164.32, AVOID 57, still below the 169.30 stop on the - SELL at the 10-23 open if still held. The (stop 164.25) holds by 0.07 (+0.04%); a close below 164.25 exits it. · news |
| MAGS | Roundhill Magnificent Seven ETF | 70.45 | SELL | 70.45 | 71.94 | 70.61 (+0.2%) | 70.76 (+0.4%) | 69.51 (-1.3%) | Magnificent Seven ETF -3.3% to 70.45 on the Meta-led megacap selloff, WATCH and a decisive close below the 71.94 stop with Est_W 69.51 below the close (L2 stop-break + negativewk). SELL at the 10-23 open if still held. Y5 until a close > 71.94. · news |
| XLE | Energy Select Sector SPDR | 67.57 | WATCH | — | 64.40 | 67.83 | 68.81 | 71.05 | Energy NO TRADE 0 at 67.57, comfortably above the 64.40 stop. HOLD if held. · news |
| — | iShares Russell 2000 ETF | — | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | IWM NO ACTION 0 at 276.67; long-only book, stand aside. |
| GLD | SPDR Gold Shares ETF | 369.00 | WATCH | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | GLD AVOID 58 at 369.0; long-only book, stand aside. · news |
| XLI | Industrial Select Sector SPDR | 166.73 | WATCH | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | XLI AVOID 56 at 166.73; long-only book, stand aside. · news |
| UFO | Procure Space ETF (SpaceTech) | 39.42 | WATCH | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | UFO AVOID 62 at 39.42; long-only book, stand aside. · news |
| DXYZ | Destiny Tech100 Inc | 26.88 | WATCH | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | Destiny Tech100 -7.3% to 26.88, AVOID -> WATCH 58 (ReversalUp_Oversold); quality gate (OVERVALUED, Quality_Pass False) blocks a new entry. · news |
| — | iShares Semiconductor ETF | — | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | SOXX NO TRADE 0 ('Consensus conflict + low conviction') after the AI-capex selloff; nothing to act on. |
| — | VanEck Semiconductor ETF | — | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | SMH NO TRADE 0 ('Consensus conflict + low conviction') after the AI-capex selloff; nothing to act on. |
| — | Tech Select Sector SPDR | — | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | XLK NO TRADE 0 ('Consensus conflict + low conviction') after the AI-capex selloff; nothing to act on. |
| — | Defiance Quantum ETF | — | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | QTUM NO TRADE 0 ('Consensus conflict + low conviction') after the AI-capex selloff; nothing to act on. |
| — | SPDR S&P Biotech ETF | — | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | XBI NO TRADE 0 ('Consensus conflict + low conviction') after the AI-capex selloff; nothing to act on. |
| XLY | Consumer Discretionary SPDR | 115.01 | WATCH | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | Consumer discretionary WATCH, below the floor. · news |
Outcome & track record
Accuracy at the time of this record.
101 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one. See the decisions →
-0.427 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
88 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.